These points all make sense and if you look from a historical account, the outlook doesn't seem so good for Robinson. However, there is a part of me and a lot of others here that are thinking maybe this will be the one time it happens. I'm not content to say Peyton's style will never change so why bother. What if he gets a chance and lights it up over and over again? How can Peyton bench him if that happens?Really. It has happened with virtually every RB to play in NO under Payton. They all have supporters who posit "What if player X were the undisputed #1 in NO?" or "Why don't they give player X a chance to be a true #1 RB?"Time Kibitzer said:Once? Besides Chris Ivory I can't think of anyone. And I think your attribution to the Saints being a RBBC team being due to Payton's philosophy may be an example of the fundamental attribution error. What RB that the Saints have had has been deserving of being a workhorse back? None of Reggie Bush, Pierre Thomas, Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram have been successful and healthy enough runners to deserve a full load.Robinson might be good enough if given the chance but how many times have we heard this story with Payton? Someone goes down and another body steps in to take his place and every back on the roster, not named Sproles, can hope for 12 touches on a good week.I agree that it's unlikely that Sproles role would dissipate much barring injury, but I don't see Pierre Thomas or Mark Ingram's presence as that big of an obstacle, hypothetically. Say Pierre Thomas gets injured and misses 1-2 games, which isn't that big of an if, I don't see anything stopping Khiry from getting a chance and running away with the main rushing duties even when Thomas returned. Thomas hasn't ran for over 600 yards in a season in 3 years, and Ingram's been terrible throughout his NFL career so far. And even if no one gets injured, Ingram/Thomas/Sproles are all pretty incompetent goal line backs, so I'd be surprised if Khiry doesn't get a shot at goal line carries sometime this season no matter what.I am not saying that if Robinson gets the opportunity that he will be bad just that it is unlikely he will get a major opportunity with the Saints. If someone gets hurt I would bet that Payton brings in another RB to keep his platoon going, sure Robinson may move up a spot but the reality is that Sproles is really the only RB on the roster that anyone can start with even a shred of confidence. The NO RB situation is about trying to predict which RB may have a big game on a particular week, an injury may or may not increase the chances of any one of the backs to improve. And let's not forget that, for this year, Ingram is still on the roster.
ETA: And I don't see this situation changing as long as Payton is head coach. Khiry may be the next Sproles but that is a long shot at best, he is more likely the next PT and unless you give him a full time opportunity he, like many other back up RBs, is just a roll of the dice (or, more accurately because of the reduced odds compared to dice, a lottery ticket).
If PT gets hurt this year Ingram will be back in the rotation. When Sproles, PT and Ingram leave two or three other backs will be brought in to platoon. Let's face it, Payton is the very definition of a RBBC coach.
Bush, Pierre Thomas, Chris Ivory, Mark Ingram & Mike Bell all had band wagons the size of Robinson. Some people were even hoping guys like Lynell Hamilton & Aaron Stecker (Ladell Betts?) would get a chance.
Sure you can argue that those guys may have gotten a chance but for circumstance X, Y or Z or that Khiry Robinson is more talented than any of those guys (and you may be right) but right now he is an undrafted free agent out of a small directional school and he plays for a coach whos history does not bode well for any one guy to truly take the reins.
BTW I am on board with those wanting to see what a true #1 back could do in that offense I just am skeptical that it will happen.
If you have an open roster spot, you have to pick this guy up and hope for the best. But I agree we shouldn't get too excited that it's definitely going to happen. Even if he takes the same route Ivory did, I'd be happy. Guys were getting first rounders for him in the preseason from all the hype if they traded him. I'll take a free future first rounder. Value is value.