OK, it has been nearly a month since
this post, so time for an update. Current depth chart looks something like this:
- Offense (19)
QB - Rivers, Clemens
- OL - LT Dunlap, LG Franklin, C Watt, RG Fluker, RT Barksdale, Hairston, Wiggins, Robinson
- RB - Gordon, Woodhead, Oliver
- WR - Allen, Benjamin, Johnson, Inman
- TE - Gates, Cumberland
[*]Defense (25)
DL - Liuget, Mebane, Carrethers, Lissemore, Palepoi, Square, Philon
- OLB - Ingram, Attaochu, Emanuel, Tourek Williams, Law, Hekking
- ILB - Perryman, Teo, McCoil, Dzunbar
- CB - Verrett, Flowers, Hayward, Steve Williams, Mager
- S - Lowery, Addae, Stuckey
[*]Special Teams (3)
LS - Windt
- K - Lambo
- P - Scifres
My view on how this looks today:
- That leaves 6 spots open for the final 53. The Chargers have 8 draft picks, and they could potentially trade down in the first round and add one or more picks. Regardless, I expect at least 6 rookies (potentially including UDFAs) to make the final roster.
- IMO addressing the center position should be the team's top priority right now. Here is how I would do it:
Robinson should be released. He was the worst C in the NFL last season and is due to count $2.375M against the cap if on the roster, but only carries $75K in dead cap space.
- Draft the best center available in the second round.
- Sign veteran free agent C Stefen Wisniewski. He should cost no more than Robinson is set to cost now, maybe a bit less.
- Move Watt to the bench, where the group of Wisniewski, Watt, Hairston, and Wiggins provide good OL depth.
[*]The next priority should be DL. Despite having 7 DL identified above, it is one of the weaker DL groups in the league as it stands today. I'd like to see two DL drafted at minimum. That implies 1-2 of the guys above could be released. Since all of these players were brought in by Telesco, it's hard to guess who could be let go.
[*]Cumberland is the only proven TE behind Gates, who will be 36 before the season and played less than 50% of the team's offensive snaps last season. Cumberland is known as a good blocker, but I don't expect much out of him as a receiver. That means if Gates goes down, the offense will take a hit in the passing game. The team has to do something to address this.
[*]I think the team has to draft a safety, ideally someone good enough to start over Addae. Obviously, if they take Jalen Ramsey, he will start and upgrade the safety position. I would prefer to draft DL in the first and look for a safety in the third. If Telesco trades down in the first, Ramsey presumably will be taken out of consideration, so they will hopefully do that. If not, however, my guess is that TT takes Ramsey and then looks for a couple DL in rounds 3+.
[*]The team needs depth at ILB, especially given how challenged Teo has been to stay on the field. I don't think McCoil and Dzubnar are enough. Draft or veteran free agent? I was a bit surprised the team cut Conner. Could they bring him back, or has he signed elsewhere?
[*]The team has no fullback on the roster. They need to add one, particularly given Gordon's struggles without one last season. I expect a late round pick (6th or later) to be used to address this.
[*]The team should release Scifres if he doesn't voluntarily retire... and I doubt he will because he is still set to make a hefty salary this season (more than $3.5M). His cap hit ($4.16M vs. $600K in dead cap if released) is far too high, especially considering he played poorly last season. The team should sign a cheap vet or bring in a couple UDFAs to compete for the position.
[*]The Chargers should not draft any players at these positions unless really compelling value falls to them: QB, WR, RB (not including FB), OLB, or CB (or K, P, LS, of course).
If they follow my plan above, they could end up with this:
- Offense (22)
QB - Rivers, Clemens
- OL - LT Dunlap, LG Franklin, C ? (rookie), RG Fluker, RT Barksdale, Wisniewski, Watt, Hairston, Wiggins
- RB - Gordon, Woodhead, Oliver
- WR - Allen, Benjamin, Johnson, Inman
- TE - Gates, Cumberland, ? (rookie or vet)
- FB - ? (rookie or vet)
[*]Defense (28)
DL - Liuget, Mebane, ? (rookie), ? (rookie), Carrethers, Lissemore, Palepoi, Square, Philon
- OLB - Ingram, Attaochu, Emanuel, Tourek Williams, Law or Hekking
- ILB - Perryman, Teo, ? (rookie or vet), McCoil, Dzunbar
- CB - Verrett, Flowers, Hayward, Steve Williams, Mager
- S - Lowery, ? (rookie), Addae, Stuckey
[*]Special Teams (3)
LS - Windt
- K - Lambo
- P - ? (rookie or vet)
It seems possible, maybe likely, that the team might keep an extra DB, in which case they would presumably drop a DL. Otherwise, I hope this is pretty close. Mostly veteran offense. Mostly young defense and special teams.
In comparison to last year, this roster should be improved across the board:
- Better OL with big upgrade at C, better depth, and hopefully better health. Maybe better coaching too.
- Better running game due to improved OL and adding FB and Cumberland. And hopefully better playcalling/coaching.
- Better passing game due to improved OL, adding Benjamin, and hopefully better health from Allen and Stevie.
- Better pass rush due to improved DL... and hopefully improved defensive backfield.
- Better run defense due to improved DL and Perryman replacing Butler's snaps... though not sure if the defensive backfield will be as good against the run without Weddle.
- Potential for better pass defense due to improved pass rush... this would really be better if Flowers rebounds, Verrett can play 16, and/or if Mager improves.
- Potential for better special teams with Lambo in second season, Benjamin returning punts, and possibly with better punting.
Thoughts?