Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
It's comical how the media likes to get the most mileage out of their investments in the NFL by trying to sell all 6 of these QBs as strong 1st round selections.
It feels like every year they just run the top 3-4-5 names up the flag pole and try to almost induce teams to take a QB.
Much of it comes down to pure entertainment and the Quarterback is about as far as a lot of these circus monkeys in the media go for their team analysis
1. Chicago - Enter QB1-Caleb Williams as the 1st one to go from the this little 6-Pack. I've seen posters in here say he's a generational talent, I've never been so underwhelmed by generational talent.
I hope for the Bears that he pans out, that fan base has suffered almost as much as the Detroit fan base. I have my doubts but if they surround him with enough talent, maybe it will work.
I still don't believe Caleb is going to lead the league in passing but maybe it's just the uniform more than the player.
I haven't seen anyone say the Bears are going in any other direction than Williams right now
2. Washington - QB2/3 - Drake Maye/Jayden Daniels...the fact there are two names rolling around in here should tell you something already. I don't care which one they take, not sure I see big success right away.
It feels like about 60-70% of the media think Maye should go No 2 but there seems to be enough smoke that you must take seriously the rumors of Daniels being the selection
3. New England/LA Chargers, both of these teams have top 5 picks and are being openly discussed as wanting to trade down or back. The next hot name is - JJ McCarthy as QB No 4 in this group and has somehow distanced himself from Nix and Penix and moved into the top tier QBs in this draft class. My knock on him is the lack of throws and never really putting Michigan on his back, doesn't mean he's not going to evolve into more but I just didn't see him will the team to victory, they were a powerhouse and more team over individual. Of all the teams I have seen J.J. being linked to, the Raiders would seem like a terrific spot for him, they already have some talent and their defense is going to help set the offense up in better field position.
Another reason I think McCarthy would do well for the OakLos OakLas Raiders is actually their head coach. You might laugh but Pierce has to love the "team" concept at Michigan and McCarthy is not likely to groan and moan about play calls or not airing it out enough, that might sound minor but I think the matching of head coach to rookie QB is critical. You can see the culture change almost immediately when Pierce took over and they have made some major off season signings, this team will not look anything like they did entering the '23 season. I for one as an NFL fan am ready to see the silver and black return to prominence.
I would also support QB5 - Michael Penix and wherever he is drafted. Jan/Feb he was talked about as maybe a 2nd or 3rd round pick, that landscape has changed a lot recently. I think if Penix landed on the Raiders, he also would have a good chance at succeeding with what they are doing there. The Raiders like many of these teams that draft a QB, will have the luxury of at least 3 full seasons on a rookie QB contract.
Penix's stats speak for themselves and he does have some off field baggage mostly in the mental wellness category and that could scare off several NFL teams but there still seems to be a loud roar for the potential and whoever takes the leap and gambles on Penix. I had high hopes he would go in the late 1st by a team that decides to trade up from the 2nd round to get him, I still see that as a possible story arc here but it feels more and more like he might be drafted by a team that is patient and doesn't trade up higher, teams like the Vikings, Broncos and Raiders would all seem to fit the potential landing spots.
QB6-Bo Nix - least talked about in this group right now, like what I saw at Oregon, perhaps someone will get a true value with him as QB 6 off the board, somebody has to slip into the 2nd round, it would be in the realm of possibilities that Harrison were to go to say the Patriots in the 1st and then they take Bo Nix in the early 2nd round, also thought similar involving Penix until he was talked up more as a 1st round QB.
The bottom line for me is at least half of these guys will end up being well below average. When you look back at most NFL Drafts, there are only 1-2 QBs that actually a carve out an NFL career or fill the franchise role on an NFL team, there's no way all 6 of these QBs are gonna make it. And I have doubts about Williams being an instant success in Chicago.
The whole thing feels like it's driven by the media and exploiting the fan base's thirst even in the off season. For some fans right now, this is the season and not when they actually play games in October.
Do you have one name out of this bunch that you think is a sure fire BUST?
It feels like every year they just run the top 3-4-5 names up the flag pole and try to almost induce teams to take a QB.
Much of it comes down to pure entertainment and the Quarterback is about as far as a lot of these circus monkeys in the media go for their team analysis
1. Chicago - Enter QB1-Caleb Williams as the 1st one to go from the this little 6-Pack. I've seen posters in here say he's a generational talent, I've never been so underwhelmed by generational talent.
I hope for the Bears that he pans out, that fan base has suffered almost as much as the Detroit fan base. I have my doubts but if they surround him with enough talent, maybe it will work.
I still don't believe Caleb is going to lead the league in passing but maybe it's just the uniform more than the player.
I haven't seen anyone say the Bears are going in any other direction than Williams right now
2. Washington - QB2/3 - Drake Maye/Jayden Daniels...the fact there are two names rolling around in here should tell you something already. I don't care which one they take, not sure I see big success right away.
It feels like about 60-70% of the media think Maye should go No 2 but there seems to be enough smoke that you must take seriously the rumors of Daniels being the selection
3. New England/LA Chargers, both of these teams have top 5 picks and are being openly discussed as wanting to trade down or back. The next hot name is - JJ McCarthy as QB No 4 in this group and has somehow distanced himself from Nix and Penix and moved into the top tier QBs in this draft class. My knock on him is the lack of throws and never really putting Michigan on his back, doesn't mean he's not going to evolve into more but I just didn't see him will the team to victory, they were a powerhouse and more team over individual. Of all the teams I have seen J.J. being linked to, the Raiders would seem like a terrific spot for him, they already have some talent and their defense is going to help set the offense up in better field position.
Another reason I think McCarthy would do well for the OakLos OakLas Raiders is actually their head coach. You might laugh but Pierce has to love the "team" concept at Michigan and McCarthy is not likely to groan and moan about play calls or not airing it out enough, that might sound minor but I think the matching of head coach to rookie QB is critical. You can see the culture change almost immediately when Pierce took over and they have made some major off season signings, this team will not look anything like they did entering the '23 season. I for one as an NFL fan am ready to see the silver and black return to prominence.
I would also support QB5 - Michael Penix and wherever he is drafted. Jan/Feb he was talked about as maybe a 2nd or 3rd round pick, that landscape has changed a lot recently. I think if Penix landed on the Raiders, he also would have a good chance at succeeding with what they are doing there. The Raiders like many of these teams that draft a QB, will have the luxury of at least 3 full seasons on a rookie QB contract.
Penix's stats speak for themselves and he does have some off field baggage mostly in the mental wellness category and that could scare off several NFL teams but there still seems to be a loud roar for the potential and whoever takes the leap and gambles on Penix. I had high hopes he would go in the late 1st by a team that decides to trade up from the 2nd round to get him, I still see that as a possible story arc here but it feels more and more like he might be drafted by a team that is patient and doesn't trade up higher, teams like the Vikings, Broncos and Raiders would all seem to fit the potential landing spots.
QB6-Bo Nix - least talked about in this group right now, like what I saw at Oregon, perhaps someone will get a true value with him as QB 6 off the board, somebody has to slip into the 2nd round, it would be in the realm of possibilities that Harrison were to go to say the Patriots in the 1st and then they take Bo Nix in the early 2nd round, also thought similar involving Penix until he was talked up more as a 1st round QB.
The bottom line for me is at least half of these guys will end up being well below average. When you look back at most NFL Drafts, there are only 1-2 QBs that actually a carve out an NFL career or fill the franchise role on an NFL team, there's no way all 6 of these QBs are gonna make it. And I have doubts about Williams being an instant success in Chicago.
The whole thing feels like it's driven by the media and exploiting the fan base's thirst even in the off season. For some fans right now, this is the season and not when they actually play games in October.
Do you have one name out of this bunch that you think is a sure fire BUST?
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