Hu-Tang Clan said:
The biggest jump in player's development is from year one to two, so what are some thoughts on the 2nd year wr's? Obviously Michael Thomas started off with a big rookie year and is being drafted pretty high. Shepard had a nice season but the Giants went and grabbed Marshall and drafted Engram. Tyreek saw the #1 WR on the team leave so there is plenty of upside for him.
What does the Shark Pool think of the next 2-4 years for guys like Shepard, Tyler Boyd, Eli Rogers, Josh Doctson, Malcolm Mitchell, Will Fuller, etc? Who takes a big leap in 2017 and who might be a year behind?
Shepard - I still like him long term... had an underrated rookie year, but obviously the targets are going to take a dip in year 2. Should something happen to Marshall or OBJ, he could put up WR2 numbers (and that's what I expect in 2018 or 2019). If not, I'm expecting WR4 numbers for 2017.
Boyd - I think all Cincy WRs will feel the pain from the likely terrible OL over there (even more so if Eifert is healthy and drawing targets). Boyd was also replaced by Ross after just one year. I think he'll be a name soon forgotten.
Rogers - He's been in my blind spot, so I don't know enough about him to comment on his future, but would think he's probably buried behind Brown/Bryant for a few years.
Doctson - old for a rookie and the achilles tendons are important for explosion. I liked him as a prospect, but the injury scares me. To me he's a gamble so whether he's worth it will depend on his price. I'm expecting Pryor to be the WR1 in 2017, though. 2018 would be Doctson's chance. For redraft, I'd rather have Kevin White... he's a 3rd year guy, but I'm just saying from a situation/value standpoint for an unknown, White seems like a better value and to me his injuries are less scary pertaining to affecting his athleticism.
Mitchell - I like this one, but like Rogers he's buried behind Cooks and Edelman for a couple years. He's a guy I would watch on the waivers in redraft to snag if there's an injury to Cooks or Edelman, and I'd like to acquire him on the cheap in dynasty.
Fuller - I expect him to linger in everyone's minds longer than Boyd due to his draft pedigree, but I don't think it'll be justified. He's a poor man's Ted Ginn... just to clarify, Ginn was just barely good enough to be fantasy relevant for a few seasons. Fuller won't make that cut. Like Zyphros, I'll be watching Miller carefully, but don't expect that offense to be WR friendly.
Coleman - I really like him. I think he shows us why he was the first WR off the board this year if he can stay healthy. He's still got some learning to do and the QB situation isn't good, but I think he puts up WR3 numbers at a WR5 price.
Treadwell - he's going to need a Diggs or Thielen injury, but Diggs has been good at getting injured.
