I realize Howard is the "safer" pick at TE but as far as fantasy goes I don't see why Njoku isn't being drafted as the top TE more. Yes he's on the browns and they don't really have a QB but they also don't really have much else as far as offensive talent outside him, Coleman and a decent rb. Britt isn't bad but I also don't see him holding someone like njoku back.
Especially in PPR I could easily see him being a lock for 5+ catches a week
meanwhile Howard goes to a team with a stud in Evans, a very good Djax, another TE that had a very good year and will be used still (maybe even more as a pass catcher then Howard for awhile considering Howard is the better blocker) and capable RBs. Yes the QB is very good but the targets atleast right away probably won't be there.
Im all for taking the "surer" thing in dynasty but if you actually want a better chance a production right away I don't see why Njoku isn't the first TE taken
First, let me say that I like Njoku, and took him at 1.11. He has as much upside as Howard. If someone likes him more, than Howard, fine with me.
But since you asked, here's the answer:
The negatives for Howard can be used as positives. He's a better blocker? Good, that means he'll always be on the field, and more likely to be covered by a LB than a safety. When Howard is on the field, the defense has to decide, before the play, if they gonna have a LB or a DB on the field. If they play the run, because Howard is a great blocker, Winston can see that matchup, and audible to a pass. Howard, stays in to pass block (and really, how often are the Bucs gonna use Howard to pass block??), the play breaks down, Winston scrambles, Howard releases to the flat, reception. There are a LOT of circumstances where being a better blocker can lead to better fantasy stats.
Regarding this:
meanwhile Howard goes to a team with a stud in Evans, a very good Djax, another TE that had a very good year and will be used still (maybe even more as a pass catcher then Howard for awhile considering Howard is the better blocker) and capable RBs. Yes the QB is very good but the targets atleast right away probably won't be there.
Did you avoid Gronk and Graham (NO) because their teams had a lot of other good pass catchers? If so, how did that work out? Getting the top target for a team that scores 7-14 points a game is fine, but taking the #2 target for a high powered offense is better, for the most part. Getting a TE for a good team, a good offense, is almost always a benefit.
Brate had a good year? Response: Imagine what Howard can do if an average talent like Brate put up numbers.
Winston gonna be throwing for 300+ yards on the regular. Kessler will be throwing for 145.
Howard's biggest negative is that Alabama didn't use him enough, their QB sucked. That shows what a clean prospect he really is.
I think these arguments apply much, much more to Engram vs. Howard and Njoku.
Having said all that, I am on board with Njoku as a late 1st. I took him over Mike Williams yesterday.