Long Ball Larry
Footballguy
Trying to get a handle on RB opportunity by team and relative chances for an RB1 season. Please weigh in on the uncertain teams and thoughts one who will have the lion's share at the beginning of the year, at the end of the year, and/or have a good chance to move into a more favorable situation. Also, tell me where I'm wrong about the other team situations in terms of their relative uncertainty. This is less about lotto ticket RBs (shout out to @daylight) and more about real opportunity, especially trying to avoid early-round busts and mid-round values.
Teams with known starters: DAL, NYG, PHI, MIN, CAR, NO, AZ, SEA, ATL, NYJ, PIT, CIN, TEN, HOU, JAX, KC, LV, LAC
Teams with a likely starter, though more prone to time share/uncertainty: WSH (seems like ADP will be the volume back, at least to start), CHI (Montgomery), GB (Jones), TB (Jones), BUF (Singletary?)
Teams that I am more unclear on:
NEP - Perpetually a nightmare to me. Michel scares me. White seems like a good play (especially in PPR obviously, but even in standard). Harris would be a good value.
SF - another one that I always struggle with. Is Mostert a safe start? Feels like playing with fire.
LAR - Cam Akers seems like a pretty good value at his current ADP, but McVay can be hard to pin down sometimes.
MIA - Breida or Howard? Similar ADPs, seems like a share. Any sense on who is more likely to potentially take over (barring injury)?
BAL - Ingram did a nice job last year, but seems like more competition now with Dobbins and he is of course getting older.
CLE - Chubb is still going very high, but isn't Hunt a danger? I'm seeing Hunt as RB29 and Chubb as RB7. Is that really possible under the new regime?
DEN - How to suss out Gordon vs. Lindsay?
IND - I would like Taylor a lot as a value RB1, but his price is a little high with Mack looming.
Teams with known starters: DAL, NYG, PHI, MIN, CAR, NO, AZ, SEA, ATL, NYJ, PIT, CIN, TEN, HOU, JAX, KC, LV, LAC
Teams with a likely starter, though more prone to time share/uncertainty: WSH (seems like ADP will be the volume back, at least to start), CHI (Montgomery), GB (Jones), TB (Jones), BUF (Singletary?)
Teams that I am more unclear on:
NEP - Perpetually a nightmare to me. Michel scares me. White seems like a good play (especially in PPR obviously, but even in standard). Harris would be a good value.
SF - another one that I always struggle with. Is Mostert a safe start? Feels like playing with fire.
LAR - Cam Akers seems like a pretty good value at his current ADP, but McVay can be hard to pin down sometimes.
MIA - Breida or Howard? Similar ADPs, seems like a share. Any sense on who is more likely to potentially take over (barring injury)?
BAL - Ingram did a nice job last year, but seems like more competition now with Dobbins and he is of course getting older.
CLE - Chubb is still going very high, but isn't Hunt a danger? I'm seeing Hunt as RB29 and Chubb as RB7. Is that really possible under the new regime?
DEN - How to suss out Gordon vs. Lindsay?
IND - I would like Taylor a lot as a value RB1, but his price is a little high with Mack looming.