Rankings in PPR from a collection of experts
Achane-13th...3rd round? Seems high
Mostert-29th...1,150 and 21 TDs in '23
Wright-61st
Wright is not considered to be on many rosters in redraft to start the season
Rankings and ADP for mock drafts are nice but in the last week in FFPC redraft leagues with real money involved and some usually pretty serious players doling out money this early in the year he's going as RB41, which puts in him at end of the 10th round of a 20 round draft. That may not make him someone worth putting on a roster in a 10 team/ 16 roster size type league but does in most formats.
I took him in the 10th round myself in this format and here is why:
The premise of all this relies on Wright winning the job of RB3, which will require him being a good player, and if he can't do that then this is all thrown out the window.
The biggest point I'm going to try and make is that in this offense, based on last season, that when both Mostert and Achane were healthy they both ate, there is enough to go around for two RB's IF Wright is good enough for the role.
So this range of drafts when RB's are drafted most are not clear cut starters, they are either in RBBC or are seen as lottery tickets if the incumbment starting RB gets hurt. This to me is where Wright has hidden value over most handcuffs because typically for your handcuff to have value you of course need THE starting RB to get injured. In Wrights case he does not an injury to a RB, he needs an injury to one of two RB's- which increase his odds over most handcuffs to get a larger role by itself but especailly so considering the injury history or Mostert in his career and Achane's last season.
So now let's look at Achane and Mostert fully healthy together, which was really only 7 games, Achane played one snap in one game and 6 in another so those don't tell us anything.
Mostert-19.12
Achane-21.7
(this would have been RB2 and RB4 in PPG)
So then the counter to what I just said could be, "dude, you are using a tiny 7 game sample size and one of those games, the Denver game, was as big of an anomaly as we'll ever see". Ok, fair enough, we remove it we are down to an even smaller sample size but it looks like this:
Mostert-14.77
Achane-16.76
(this would have been RB7 and RB12)
In those 7 weeks Mostert gave you top 12 RB performance, a RB1 in a 12 team league, in 5 of those 7 weeks and Achane did it 4 times.
In those 7 weeks Mostert gave you a top 24 RB performance, a RB2 in a 12 team league, 6 of those 7 weeks and 5 out of 7 for Achane.
Again, this premise is all based on Wright getting the RB3 job and being good, being better then say Jeff Wilson.