I am at 1.07 in our rookie draft and was hoping for Kerryon Johnson but he was just taken so I've been doing more research on Nick Chubb. I remember seeing his knee injury at Georgia and he's sort of been out-of-mind since then. This is relevant to Guice because when Chubb came back from his injury at Georgia, he had a decent year but his numbers were significantly down and his burst wasn't the same. In 2017, he did regain some form and all indications are that he is going to be a solid back, maybe with some flashes of what could have been, but that he may never regain what made him truly special as a freshman.
Now I know that every player is different and every injury is different, but anyone expecting that Guice will come back in 2019 to be the same player he was in 2018 may be focusing on those success stories (like Adrian Peterson) and overlooking what I think is a more typical trajectory, that of at least two years to get back to full strength or maybe even a little bit below. With all that in mind, I'm taking Chubb even though I don't like his situation in Cleveland but he's already done the rehab and I don't want to lose potentially two years of production that might come with Guice.