GordonGekko
Footballguy
Opinion/Editorial:
John Elway was once interviewed about his "comeback" prowess as an elite NFL quarterback. Citing that he was able to salvage victory out of the jaws of defeat over and over again, sometimes against what looked to be clearly impossible odds.
What did Elway say in one of those interviews? He said if he did his job the right way the first three quarters of the game, there wouldn't be a need for a comeback at all. And that he was responsible to lead his team all four quarters, not just the last one.
Never pick the hard road to victory when an easier path presents itself to you.
The ideal candidate for 2024 for the GOP will be
1) Someone who has no negative COVID19 narrative on their political resume. This also creates all kinds of problems for any sitting Governor right now, no matter what side of the aisle they actually reside.
2) Someone who has no linkage with January 6th/Capitol Riots. The actions of a few thousand are being used to smear 74 plus million Americans. It will operate as a counter narrative during the 2024 cycle to logical fallacy bomb away the disaster zone of this current Biden Administration. Take that narrative away or any of it's potential and the Biden Administration will have to face accountability in it's purest form.
3) Someone who has an age timeline that doesn't replicate the same risk of the deep disturbing issues about Joe Biden and his alleged "cognitive decline/dementia". The leader of the free world and the Commander In Chief of the most powerful military force in all of recorded human history, and whom has tactical command of up to 6000 nuclear weapons, should be someone where it's clear they will hold onto their cognitive agency during their POTUS run.
4) Someone who will naturally appeal to the moderate and undecided voting blocks who didn't align with the GOP in 2020 but can reasonably win them back.
5) Someone who becomes almost impossible, as much as is possible, to "cancel" or drag through the mud via personal/financial/political scandal.
The only three real GOP contenders for 2024 will be Donald Trump, Ron De Santis and Nikki Haley.
Can Trump beat any of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom? (Let's remove the fringe candidates here, Buttigieg and Klobuchar and a few others will not get full Party support) Maybe Trump can beat them. It's not a lock. Trump galvanizes a massive down the ticket voter turnout, but for both Parties. The same people who voted against Trump in 2020 have a media induced pathway to do it again.
Can De Santis beat any of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom? The struggle here is the COVID19 narrative. No one knows where the virus will go or what the total infection rate and/or death count will be in Florida in three plus more years. It's also unclear if he can generate enough delegate support by 2024. Maybe De Santis can beat Biden but it's unclear with Harris and Newsom.
Can Haley beat any of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom? With full Party support, she can take all of them. She naturally hits every box on the checklist. The left leaning leverage of Big Tech, Big Social Media, Big Education, most of the MSM and Hollywood is almost entirely built on Orange Man Bad. Replace Orange Man Bad with pure walking Teflon and it's an entirely new ballgame.
Without Trump on the ticket, my take is a lot of Democratic voters in 2016 and 2020 might just stay home. Maybe they don't like Republicans or Conservative policy, but I'd wager many won't feel comfortable voting for either Biden and/or Harris given what has happened in the last year and what might happen in the next three plus years. ( Scary to think it could get any worse, but it might actually get even more repugnant)
The immediate counter will be what about the hard line MAGA base. While they might rumble some, when it comes down to it, they will vote for anyone who can get this current identity politics madness out of sitting power. It's not like they are going to vote for Kamala Harris just to spite some other GOP candidate.
The GOP needs Trump's down the ticket impact, but not his baggage. As a practical matter, no one needs to have another POTUS (where ages 78-82 in that timeline) that could turn into another cognitive decline disaster zone. This is the same reason why Newsom is dangerous ( Nancy Pelosi would then be the de facto POTUS and her age profile and deep questions lingering about her alleged heavy alcoholism come into play.)
Would Trump be content with an announcement, his typical grifter fund raising routine, then announcing pulling out for health reasons ( perfectly acceptable narrative at his age profile) and then endorsing either De Santis or Haley? Depends on what they have to trade him. A future Presidential blanket pardon could be useful down the road. Maybe for Trump, or maybe for Don Jr , Ivanka or Jared Kushner.
America needs a fresh start here. I don't care what side of the aisle you reside, the country would be better served moving as far away from Trump, Biden and Harris as soon as possible.
Someone more balanced and less egregiously confrontational but who carries many of Trump's policies but without the clear baggage would bring many moderates, undecideds and suburban women back into the fold.
This is a coin with two sides. The establishment Democrats turned their Party into some kind of bizarre pathetic woke catastrophe. But Trump did not do anything to help himself. He could have run roughshod just enough to win 2016 and dialed it back for four years to get reelected and then, if it suited him, go off the cuff in his 2nd term. It's not fair for Trump to blame establishment Democrats for his own mistakes. It's also not fair for leftists to use Trump as a crutch to try to avoid any kind of accountability.
This is about pure practical and functional political strategy. You don't pin your hopes on a 4th quarter flurry before the clock runs out to steal a win from the jaws of defeat. You make your life easier and pick the QB1 who can give you solid play for all four quarters so you just need to run out the clock for victory in the last few minutes of the game.
The irony here is Hillary Clinton defeated herself. And then Trump beat himself. And now Biden has done the same.
The GOP needs to focus on the easy win here. It's not needed to make this more complicated than it has to be. Trump always makes everything more complicated than it has to be. The interesting thing is once you take away Trump, you also take away the "But Trump" excuses too. I don't think some leftists are actually prepared for that.
For the good of America, and for God and country, it's time to hit Reset.
John Elway was once interviewed about his "comeback" prowess as an elite NFL quarterback. Citing that he was able to salvage victory out of the jaws of defeat over and over again, sometimes against what looked to be clearly impossible odds.
What did Elway say in one of those interviews? He said if he did his job the right way the first three quarters of the game, there wouldn't be a need for a comeback at all. And that he was responsible to lead his team all four quarters, not just the last one.
Never pick the hard road to victory when an easier path presents itself to you.
The ideal candidate for 2024 for the GOP will be
1) Someone who has no negative COVID19 narrative on their political resume. This also creates all kinds of problems for any sitting Governor right now, no matter what side of the aisle they actually reside.
2) Someone who has no linkage with January 6th/Capitol Riots. The actions of a few thousand are being used to smear 74 plus million Americans. It will operate as a counter narrative during the 2024 cycle to logical fallacy bomb away the disaster zone of this current Biden Administration. Take that narrative away or any of it's potential and the Biden Administration will have to face accountability in it's purest form.
3) Someone who has an age timeline that doesn't replicate the same risk of the deep disturbing issues about Joe Biden and his alleged "cognitive decline/dementia". The leader of the free world and the Commander In Chief of the most powerful military force in all of recorded human history, and whom has tactical command of up to 6000 nuclear weapons, should be someone where it's clear they will hold onto their cognitive agency during their POTUS run.
4) Someone who will naturally appeal to the moderate and undecided voting blocks who didn't align with the GOP in 2020 but can reasonably win them back.
5) Someone who becomes almost impossible, as much as is possible, to "cancel" or drag through the mud via personal/financial/political scandal.
The only three real GOP contenders for 2024 will be Donald Trump, Ron De Santis and Nikki Haley.
Can Trump beat any of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom? (Let's remove the fringe candidates here, Buttigieg and Klobuchar and a few others will not get full Party support) Maybe Trump can beat them. It's not a lock. Trump galvanizes a massive down the ticket voter turnout, but for both Parties. The same people who voted against Trump in 2020 have a media induced pathway to do it again.
Can De Santis beat any of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom? The struggle here is the COVID19 narrative. No one knows where the virus will go or what the total infection rate and/or death count will be in Florida in three plus more years. It's also unclear if he can generate enough delegate support by 2024. Maybe De Santis can beat Biden but it's unclear with Harris and Newsom.
Can Haley beat any of Joe Biden, Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom? With full Party support, she can take all of them. She naturally hits every box on the checklist. The left leaning leverage of Big Tech, Big Social Media, Big Education, most of the MSM and Hollywood is almost entirely built on Orange Man Bad. Replace Orange Man Bad with pure walking Teflon and it's an entirely new ballgame.
Without Trump on the ticket, my take is a lot of Democratic voters in 2016 and 2020 might just stay home. Maybe they don't like Republicans or Conservative policy, but I'd wager many won't feel comfortable voting for either Biden and/or Harris given what has happened in the last year and what might happen in the next three plus years. ( Scary to think it could get any worse, but it might actually get even more repugnant)
The immediate counter will be what about the hard line MAGA base. While they might rumble some, when it comes down to it, they will vote for anyone who can get this current identity politics madness out of sitting power. It's not like they are going to vote for Kamala Harris just to spite some other GOP candidate.
The GOP needs Trump's down the ticket impact, but not his baggage. As a practical matter, no one needs to have another POTUS (where ages 78-82 in that timeline) that could turn into another cognitive decline disaster zone. This is the same reason why Newsom is dangerous ( Nancy Pelosi would then be the de facto POTUS and her age profile and deep questions lingering about her alleged heavy alcoholism come into play.)
Would Trump be content with an announcement, his typical grifter fund raising routine, then announcing pulling out for health reasons ( perfectly acceptable narrative at his age profile) and then endorsing either De Santis or Haley? Depends on what they have to trade him. A future Presidential blanket pardon could be useful down the road. Maybe for Trump, or maybe for Don Jr , Ivanka or Jared Kushner.
America needs a fresh start here. I don't care what side of the aisle you reside, the country would be better served moving as far away from Trump, Biden and Harris as soon as possible.
Someone more balanced and less egregiously confrontational but who carries many of Trump's policies but without the clear baggage would bring many moderates, undecideds and suburban women back into the fold.
This is a coin with two sides. The establishment Democrats turned their Party into some kind of bizarre pathetic woke catastrophe. But Trump did not do anything to help himself. He could have run roughshod just enough to win 2016 and dialed it back for four years to get reelected and then, if it suited him, go off the cuff in his 2nd term. It's not fair for Trump to blame establishment Democrats for his own mistakes. It's also not fair for leftists to use Trump as a crutch to try to avoid any kind of accountability.
This is about pure practical and functional political strategy. You don't pin your hopes on a 4th quarter flurry before the clock runs out to steal a win from the jaws of defeat. You make your life easier and pick the QB1 who can give you solid play for all four quarters so you just need to run out the clock for victory in the last few minutes of the game.
The irony here is Hillary Clinton defeated herself. And then Trump beat himself. And now Biden has done the same.
The GOP needs to focus on the easy win here. It's not needed to make this more complicated than it has to be. Trump always makes everything more complicated than it has to be. The interesting thing is once you take away Trump, you also take away the "But Trump" excuses too. I don't think some leftists are actually prepared for that.
For the good of America, and for God and country, it's time to hit Reset.