Well, that eliminates "part" of the people, but it keeps the door open for that other part. all you need is one to make a trade.Perceived value is in fact the problem here. Whether or not Lewis actually ends up holding any value is going to be irrelevant in the eyes of people who won't own a part of BB's backfield under any circumstance. I think Lewis may end up being good depth for teams in PPR but looking towards him as trade bait is incorrect.I think you have to look beyond that. It's not so much what do we expect in terms of production but what we expect in terms of perceived value.What do we expect from the passing down RB on a weekly basis
I could care less if a guy I am adding off the wire is a 6 point or 14 point guy, depending on the stars aligning correctly. I care about getting this guy on my roster and then generating value from him because I KNOW that there is somebody out there in my league that, at some point, is going to pay me for this guy.
There isn't any if you have the room, I'm just saying the stigma is very real and could make him a tough player to move. I've been sitting here debating between him and Andre Williams for the past 30 mins myself but not because I expect to be able to trade him at any point this year.Well, that eliminates "part" of the people, but it keeps the door open for that other part. all you need is one to make a trade.Perceived value is in fact the problem here. Whether or not Lewis actually ends up holding any value is going to be irrelevant in the eyes of people who won't own a part of BB's backfield under any circumstance. I think Lewis may end up being good depth for teams in PPR but looking towards him as trade bait is incorrect.I think you have to look beyond that. It's not so much what do we expect in terms of production but what we expect in terms of perceived value.What do we expect from the passing down RB on a weekly basis
I could care less if a guy I am adding off the wire is a 6 point or 14 point guy, depending on the stars aligning correctly. I care about getting this guy on my roster and then generating value from him because I KNOW that there is somebody out there in my league that, at some point, is going to pay me for this guy.
What's the alternative? If you have an open spot or if you have someone you're ready to cut, what's the downside?
It's not like that at all. I didn't say anyone would HAVE to trade with me. I said someone will want to.this is like drafting six RBs in a row bc someone will have to trade with me. Yet, it doesnt always work out. Hope it does for you thoughI think you have to look beyond that. It's not so much what do we expect in terms of production but what we expect in terms of perceived value.I could care less if a guy I am adding off the wire is a 6 point or 14 point guy, depending on the stars aligning correctly. I care about getting this guy on my roster and then generating value from him because I KNOW that there is somebody out there in my league that, at some point, is going to pay me for this guy.What do we expect from the passing down RB on a weekly basis
Honestly, I'd take Williams in that case. But overall, I think IF you are just sitting there and he's available...do it because its a long season and if he won the job and has a role, SOMEBODY out there, at some point, due to injuries or whatever are likely going to be interested in the Patriots' receiving RB because they are a high scoring team and its actually that variance and unpredictability that works FOR you becasuse while there are those out there who say "Ahh, it's this and that and who knows," there's also those out there who like to swing for the fences and think "Hey, I might luck out and get a Rb on a high scoring team and end up with a top 20 rb (ppr). Wasn't Vareen and Ridley both pretty valuable at different point?There isn't any if you have the room, I'm just saying the stigma is very real and could make him a tough player to move. I've been sitting here debating between him and Andre Williams for the past 30 mins myself but not because I expect to be able to trade him at any point this year.Well, that eliminates "part" of the people, but it keeps the door open for that other part. all you need is one to make a trade.Perceived value is in fact the problem here. Whether or not Lewis actually ends up holding any value is going to be irrelevant in the eyes of people who won't own a part of BB's backfield under any circumstance. I think Lewis may end up being good depth for teams in PPR but looking towards him as trade bait is incorrect.I think you have to look beyond that. It's not so much what do we expect in terms of production but what we expect in terms of perceived value.What do we expect from the passing down RB on a weekly basis
I could care less if a guy I am adding off the wire is a 6 point or 14 point guy, depending on the stars aligning correctly. I care about getting this guy on my roster and then generating value from him because I KNOW that there is somebody out there in my league that, at some point, is going to pay me for this guy.
What's the alternative? If you have an open spot or if you have someone you're ready to cut, what's the downside?
I think nothing is settled in this backfield until they put on their unis next Thursday...still could be some more moving parts...Is it a foregone conclusion that Lewis is the 3rd back? Is White still on the roster?
I think White made the cut but he's looked like the epitome of pedestrian every time I've seen him on the field.Is it a foregone conclusion that Lewis is the 3rd back? Is White still on the roster?
Dion Lewis … a decent bet to lead the defending Super Bowl champions in touches in Week 1. What a world.
White was getting all the love from OTAs and early camp work.I think White made the cut but he's looked like the epitome of pedestrian every time I've seen him on the field.Is it a foregone conclusion that Lewis is the 3rd back? Is White still on the roster?
White has already earned a reputation for being soft. Lights it up in two hand touch and shirts and shells. Once the gloves come off and people go full live contact . . . not so much.White was getting all the love from OTAs and early camp work.I think White made the cut but he's looked like the epitome of pedestrian every time I've seen him on the field.Is it a foregone conclusion that Lewis is the 3rd back? Is White still on the roster?
Maybe hoodie is playing snooker with him.
No one really knows. It's all speculation at this point. With that said Dion has looked the best out of all of the other RBs in the preseason so it's hard to imagine him not having some sort of role in Week 1.I see Roto has Lewis as the RB2 and the 3rd down RB1, Just a few days ago, they had Bolden in both spots, ahead of Lewis. Bolden was the #1 with Brady in during game 3, ahead of Lewis. I have searched everywhere and other than a bunch of opinions, I haven't seen anywhere that the Pats said they made a change from the game 3 order.
If you have seen something, please link
would think his ceiling is similar to Woodhead's role there...Any value in standard formats?
He looked really good in preseason with Cleveland and then broke his leg. I'm fairly sure he would have made that team.He was cut before the season started by both the Browns and Colts.
He was a scrub at the bottom of the depth chart until yesterday now "he has serious potential"guy has serious potential
I'm hearing Bolden will start.I just scooped him up for Brandon Bolden
Never watched the Patriots backfield before?He was a scrub at the bottom of the depth chart until yesterday now "he has serious potential"guy has serious potential
Ok.
Blount is suspended week 1, so maybe that's why Bolden is starting. But obviously with BB doesn't matter who "starts" all that matters is who plays. I always thought Bolden was a good player (reminds me of Ivory a little) but for whatever reason hasn't really gotten a consistent chance to play as far as I can recall.I'm hearing Bolden will start.I just scooped him up for Brandon Bolden
One would think the "best case scenario" would more closely resemble Vereen in 2013 than 2014, where he saw those 70 targets in only 8 games. Depends how troubling it proves for the Pats to find reliability in various other phases of the offense. Obviously, in 2013, they faced injuries that limited snaps for Amendola and Gronk, and the other WR spot saw Bill cycling through players trying to find some chemistry for Tom.I'm trying to figure exactly how much value there is in his predicted role..
Woodhead saw 55 targets in 2012, Vereen saw 70 in 2013 and 78 in 2014.
Despite seeing the 4th most targets of all RBs last year and cashing in on 68% of those targets, Vereen still barely managed RB3 numbers in PPR on a PPG basis.
Is this the best case scenario?
This. Think Shane Vereen with better big play ability. I think Lewis is a better runner than Vereen.Added him everywhere. Thought he always looked good in his limited touches in Philly. Had no chance behind Shady. But hes Clearly more explosive then White and Bolden.
there's value here somewhere...Count me in on those seeing the Vereen role as a possible big deal, especially in PPR.
We don't know where it will go but do the math with NE targets:
1. Gronk
2. Edelman
3. ?
4. ?
5. ?
Usually they have at least 3 pass receiving wheels worth owning somehow.
That's exactly why I'm not adding him on any team. No upside.I'm trying to figure exactly how much value there is in his predicted role..
Woodhead saw 55 targets in 2012, Vereen saw 70 in 2013 and 78 in 2014.
Despite seeing the 4th most targets of all RBs last year and cashing in on 68% of those targets, Vereen still barely managed RB3 numbers in PPR on a PPG basis.
Is this the best case scenario?
That isn't true. See Freelove's post above. Vereen had 70 targets in 2013 in only 8 games due to all the injuries. Well, outside of Edelman, there are a lot of question marks for the WRs this year. Not saying Lewis can duplicate it, but that target uncertainty in 2013 led Vereen to be RB9 in ppg in PPR in those 8 games starting off the season with a 7 reception, 160 total yard game. Lewis has upside if he becomes the 3rd down RB and the Pats decide to target him as #3 behind Gronk/Edelman.That's exactly why I'm not adding him on any team. No upside.I'm trying to figure exactly how much value there is in his predicted role..
Woodhead saw 55 targets in 2012, Vereen saw 70 in 2013 and 78 in 2014.
Despite seeing the 4th most targets of all RBs last year and cashing in on 68% of those targets, Vereen still barely managed RB3 numbers in PPR on a PPG basis.
Is this the best case scenario?
I think Lewis is a better overall player, but I think Cadet is the better receiver. I'd be worried that Cadet made the team without playing if I were looking to buy Lewis.I think he's definitely better than Cadet, and showed better in preseason as well. So I don't think there's any question who the receiving RB will be (as long as he performs well). The thing is predicting the game script...when will the Pats be dumping it off to the RB? That's what you have to figure out to feel good about him in your lineup.