ZWK
Footballguy
This year I'll be putting my analysis of the 2015 draft class together in one thread, here. You can see the kinds of things I'll be doing by taking a look at this post, which has my analysis of the 2014 draft class just before the draft.
In short, I try to find the numbers which I think are most predictive of whether a college player will be successful in the NFL, and then I put them together in the way that seems most likely to be predictive. Occasionally I watch video of prospects, mostly to obtain numbers which aren't otherwise available (like RB yards after contact). I mostly focus on RBs & WRs.
I have spreadsheets of RB elusiveness stats (missed tackles, yards after contact, etc.) and WR production stats (yards per target, percent of team's receiving yards, 40+ yard receptions, etc.) which I'll keep updating throughout the offseason.
I just collected my full set of WR stats for this season, and put together my first pass WR rankings (strictly by the numbers). The stats are here, the leaderboard is below.
These ratings are based on production (2014 & previous seasons), size (estimated ht & wt from nfldraftscout), and athleticism (projected 40 time from nfldraftscout). They'll probably change a decent amount after the combine when I have accurate height & weight numbers and actual athleticism measurements (40, vertical, broad). If Greg Peshek shares his stats again this year (yards after the catch, drop rate, etc.) then those will also be incorporated.
Here is the leaderboard (including non-draft-eligible players):
Rtg Player Team
8.44 Amari Cooper Alabama
8.40 DeVante Parker Louisville
7.26 Sammie Coates Auburn
6.09 Leonte Carroo Rutgers
5.61 Phillip Dorsett Miami (Fl)
5.53 Rashard Higgins CSU
5.30 Devin Smith Ohio State
5.27 Corey Coleman Baylor
5.22 John Harris Texas
5.10 Ty Montgomery Stanford
4.93 Devante Davis UNLV
4.85 Vince Mayle Wash St
4.61 Tyler Boyd Pittsburgh
4.04 Kevin White WVU
3.98 Stefon Diggs Maryland
3.97 Sterling Shepard Oklahoma
3.74 Titus Davis C Mich
3.58 Tyler Lockett Kansas St
Cooper, Parker, and Higgins stand ahead of the pack in production; Cooper and Parker also have the size to go with it. Coates, Montgomery, Davis, and Diggs are relying on previous years' production for their high ratings - they all had mediocre 2014 numbers. Carroo seems to be flying under the radar, but he has strong numbers across the board. Rutgers doesn't pass very often, but he still accounted for over a quarter of the team's offensive TDs.
In short, I try to find the numbers which I think are most predictive of whether a college player will be successful in the NFL, and then I put them together in the way that seems most likely to be predictive. Occasionally I watch video of prospects, mostly to obtain numbers which aren't otherwise available (like RB yards after contact). I mostly focus on RBs & WRs.
I have spreadsheets of RB elusiveness stats (missed tackles, yards after contact, etc.) and WR production stats (yards per target, percent of team's receiving yards, 40+ yard receptions, etc.) which I'll keep updating throughout the offseason.
I just collected my full set of WR stats for this season, and put together my first pass WR rankings (strictly by the numbers). The stats are here, the leaderboard is below.
These ratings are based on production (2014 & previous seasons), size (estimated ht & wt from nfldraftscout), and athleticism (projected 40 time from nfldraftscout). They'll probably change a decent amount after the combine when I have accurate height & weight numbers and actual athleticism measurements (40, vertical, broad). If Greg Peshek shares his stats again this year (yards after the catch, drop rate, etc.) then those will also be incorporated.
Here is the leaderboard (including non-draft-eligible players):
Rtg Player Team
8.44 Amari Cooper Alabama
8.40 DeVante Parker Louisville
7.26 Sammie Coates Auburn
6.09 Leonte Carroo Rutgers
5.61 Phillip Dorsett Miami (Fl)
5.53 Rashard Higgins CSU
5.30 Devin Smith Ohio State
5.27 Corey Coleman Baylor
5.22 John Harris Texas
5.10 Ty Montgomery Stanford
4.93 Devante Davis UNLV
4.85 Vince Mayle Wash St
4.61 Tyler Boyd Pittsburgh
4.04 Kevin White WVU
3.98 Stefon Diggs Maryland
3.97 Sterling Shepard Oklahoma
3.74 Titus Davis C Mich
3.58 Tyler Lockett Kansas St
Cooper, Parker, and Higgins stand ahead of the pack in production; Cooper and Parker also have the size to go with it. Coates, Montgomery, Davis, and Diggs are relying on previous years' production for their high ratings - they all had mediocre 2014 numbers. Carroo seems to be flying under the radar, but he has strong numbers across the board. Rutgers doesn't pass very often, but he still accounted for over a quarter of the team's offensive TDs.
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