Is Melvin Gordon considered not part of this group? I'd take a few of these guys over him.
1. Carson is a low end RB1 in my opinion. I don't think any of the current competition is as big of a worry as a healthy Penny was. I'm expecting pretty much a repeat of 2019.
2. Johnson was RB6 before getting hurt last year, and is going to a potentially more powerful offense. He's still a massive mismatch in the passing game(with a lot of vacated targets) and while not a great runner, is at least as good as Hyde/Miller, who have both topped 1,000 yards for BOB. I think he's a high-end RB2.
3. Ingram just has too much TD upside to be lower for me. The Ravens likely aren't going to be suddenly figured out by defenses, and I don't think Dobbins is a huge threat yet. He hasn't even passed Gus Edwards yet. I view Ingram as a decent RB2.
4. Bell looked just fine to me last year, he just got zero help. I'm not sure much has changed there, but the volume is going to be high enough to make him a useful starter still. 4 TD's was pretty fluky too, that could easily get up to 7-8 without Bell really playing any better. I think he's a low-end RB2.
5. Conner scares the hell out of me. I just think he's a guy who is a bit fragile. While I don't think the Steelers offense will be as poor as it was last year, its arguably closer to that than to 2018. I'm kind of down on the Steelers offense in general. The only guy I really like might be Washington, and even then its mostly because he's free. I view Conner on the RB2/Flex borderline.
6. Fournette, I've never liked him going back to evaluating him as a draft prospect. I can see the argument that he's in a contract year, so they may just run him into the ground and then let him walk(although that kinda applies to all these guys) but Fournette just strikes me as a guy who is a lock to come down from last year. His catches could easily come down by over half, and I could see them trying to work in other guys, just to see if they've got something. He's a flex RB to me.
7. Gurley, I think he's washed. Its possible he works his way into RB2 value like Freeman did a year ago, based on catches and TD's, but its just so easy to see the wheels coming off, that he is basically on my do not draft list. If he's the best RB left when I pick, I'm taking a different position. I think if he's higher than RB3 on your team, I'd be terrified.
Carson and Johnson are likely the only ones I could see myself drafting. Everyone else has a younger, or more role unproven, RB I prefer to them. I really love Johnson at that ADP. He's the only one of these guys I'm actively targeting.
