Lions fan here. I definitely raised an eyebrow when they went for it from the 7, but honestly, the result didn’t matter all that much. I think it was much more about MCDC challenging his team for the playoffs than it was winning this one game.
In any event, they had the right play call for the final attempt. Goff just underthrew him.
In fact, the other key plays off the game (CeeDee TD and Goff’s second INT) were also ones where they had the right play call and didn’t execute. They know what they need to clean up for the playoffs
You say that now, but playing at home in the playoffs matters. The bye matters. They had a shot at the #1 seed, a bye and hosting the NFCCG, now they will have to win 3 games, and probably 2 road games to get to the Superbowl. Not impossible, but they just made their path much harder.
Of course I’d rather have home field. But who’s to say that call is what cost them? If he does kick they go into OT on the road against a team with a WR they couldn’t cover and a K who never misses. There are no guarantees.
Did the numbers suggest kicking? I haven’t seen any, but I could certainly see how they might have, especially from the 7. But I don’t think it was a slam dunk either way, and in any event I don’t believe for a second that Campbell based his decision on the numbers. And I have faith that in the long run these kinds of decisions will pay off. Hopefully this year and into the future