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If I am Bevell and I heard how Lawrence feels, I am giving Robinson everything he can handle.
True. But the volume SHOULD still be there. High risk / high reward to me.
J.P. Shadrick@jpshadrick
Congrats, man! I wanted to actually bench Harris for him, and couldn't bring myself to do it. Should have.
We will never really know because teams do not reveal those types of details about injuries to the public.
No more than a 3rd round dynasty rookie pick and I wouldn’t give that. ETN will own that backfield most likely and he has his own injury issues
Right you’d have to be in the mindset that you get nothing next year. But then he’d be just turning 25 in August 2023 and possibly on a new team with a good shot at starting. He’s averaged 4.5 ypc on 400 carries over the last 2 years on a terrible team with terrible qb play and terrible weapons around him. I think that’s enough of a sample to conclude he’s talented enough to see touches somewhere. All assuming a clean recovery which is of course no gimme but looking a little more optimistic maybe.
I'd say you're looking at it very optimistically. I'd give a fourth for him. Maybe. He's really, as of this moment, cooked and has no team to play for. I mean, his is a two-year window just like the window for winning in dynasty.
Thanks for the perspective. Is this because of the difficulty recovering from an Achilles? Or not liking him as a player? I can’t imagine not giving a 4th. What’s the 2 year window hit rate players outside the top 30? Can’t be too high. You’d certainly be buying hoping his age 25 year 20 months from now he’s completely healthy. A moderate risk for sure.
I should begin this by totally agreeing, that in normal situations, a hit rate on players outside the top thirty seems very small. I'm not sure the numbers, but they're low. FantasyPros did great work on stuff like this; I wish I had it offhand or memorized. But yeah, your point is taken.
It’s a totally fine perspective and exactly what I was hoping to get out of this when I asked. IDP changes it a little bit (I assume, I don’t play but I guess that a few extra players are thrown in the earlier rounds).
Look at Cordarrelle Patterson! 9 years for someone to figure out hey this guy is a monster with the ball in his hands maybe we should let him run it a ton because he has some receiving chops too. Almost faded away into oblivion.
Thanks. Nice to hear. Yeah, there's usually a defensive run on the top linebackers and DEs in the mid-second round and the defensive players start to get selected with more frequency around the third. A third should yield you a defensive starter in a year or two if you do it right and the player performs as expected, so that's a tricky one to give up. Talking bona fide starter in that range.
I think Cordarrelle Patterson is a great example of how the coaching staffs vision of a player along with other circumstances can play a huge factor as far as a players opportunity to shine.
