The notion that Edmonds was a lock for at least 10 points is ridiculous, regardless of the circumstances.Hot Sauce Guy was only talking about that game and that opponent and was giving his opinion for that game. He wasn't talking ROS which is what I read from his comments. If he were talking ROS I would agree with you that it would be complete nonsense. I don't think projecting a floor of 10 points last week was nonsense at all. We knew DJ was injured and his coach said he wouldn't play if the game were played on Friday. If one is projecting it is easy to say they will not run DJ to the ground. If you look at his last 2 games you saw his usage trending upwards. He was already catching passes out of the backfield. Why wouldn't you expect 10 points before last game as a reasonable "floor" for your projections in PPR? I think it is a good call and it is just his opinion. I missed out on this as well and obviously didn't expect him to go off like that.
I think part of the problem is the semantics of using the word "floor". Obviously every player has a floor of 0 but he was saying in PPR that he expected him to have a floor of 10 with the circumstances surrounding that game (DJ injury and usage trending up).
Dodds projected him for 6.1 ppr points. Bloom 12.7. Tremblay was at 4.6.
Those are expected points. The middle of the bell curve. The floor (left tail of the bell curve) is obviously well below that, even.
It was dumb when he said it and nothing about his breakout performance does anything to change that.