Tau837
Footballguy
I get the feeling...and hear me out on this ...The Chargers are working Kelly in to find out what they have in him. Ekler may not be around next year and running him ragged helps no one. Kelly may be the play here.
Ekeler definitely won't be around next year IMO. They have a huge cap challenge to deal with for 2024 and paying Ekeler whatever it would take to keep him in 2024 and beyond likely doesn't fit what they are going to need to do. Also, Kelley is a UFA after this season just like Ekeler.
Staley and Telesco need to win as many games as possible to save their jobs. They should be doing whatever they can to maximize their chance of winning every game. If that means "running Ekeler ragged" then that is what I would expect them to do.
All that said, Kelley is a good player IMO, so I definitely expect him to have a role big enough that it will probably cap Ekeler's upside a bit. Kelley looked great in camp and preseason and in week 1.
Consider some metrics from week 1:
- Rushing attempts:
- Ekeler 16
- Kelley 16
- Rushing attempts in red zone:
- Ekeler 5
- Kelley 5
- Yards per carry:
- Ekeler 7.3
- Kelley 5.7
- Rushing TDs:
- Ekeler 1
- Kelley 1
- Runs of 10+ yards:
- Kelley 3
- Ekeler 2
- PFR rushing success rate:
- Kelley 87.5%
- Ekeler 75%
- RBSDM rushing success rate (% of plays with positive EPA):
- Kelley 75%
- Ekeler 56%
- RBSDM rushing first down percentage:
- Kelley 50%
- Ekeler 25%
- PFF offensive grades:
- Kelley 75.5 (#2 on team)
- Ekeler 74.8 (#3 on team)
One reason they combined for 32 rushing attempts is that they were facing a Fangio defense that invites running. I doubt they will have many other games, if any, with that many RB rushing attempts. In games with fewer rushing attempts, I assume the attempts will skew to Ekeler as the #1 RB, but Kelley is going to continue to get meaningful opportunities.