There isn't a whole lot of explanation for his dismal fantasy performance this year ...
Perception and reality are sometimes close, and sometimes not. I wonder how perception vs. reality shakes out for Mahomes.
Was checking a few things about Mahomes 2023 season just to groundtruth the idea that he's been dismal. This is scoring-system dependent, no doubt ... but right now Mahomes is sixth overall (fantasy points to date) among QBs in my money fantasy leagues. He's only 10 points behind Brock Purdy for fourth place, where Josh Allen, Hurts, and Prescott are a tier ahead.
Now, that said, Mahomes is 16th among QBs over the last three games in our leagues' scoring system.
Of course, it's legitimate to argue that when you spent the draft pick/auction bucks to obtain Mahomes, you were aiming to buy a sure-fire top-three QB, not a number-six guy in a mushy second tier with virtually-free guys like CJ Stroud and Sam Howell (who are neck-and-neck with Mahomes in YTD points in our leagues).
...
I also wonder about an under-wraps injury,
hotlanta. This is the first year since he was a rookie that Mahomes hasn't rushed for a TD, though his carries and rushing yardage are right in line with his career average. And it seems like (some) QBs frequently hide injuries -- perhaps to avoid a given injury becoming even more of a target for opponents?
Do his passing statistics hint at anything (
2022 game log) (
2023 game log) injury-wise? Mahomes' completion percentage is almost identical to last year. His interceptions are also in line with last season (11 ints through 13 starts both 2022 and 2023). What has changed is (a) TDs -- 33 through 13 starts last year, 23 this year and (b) average yards per attempt -- 8.10 last year, 6.98 this year. Scant clues that he's perhaps having trouble with zip on the ball? Or not really much to see here in the stats?
One year (I think 2016), Drew Brees had a cold stretch of games early in the season. He righted the ship and started performing like usual after about a month or so. Only later on did we learn that he had suffered an oblique strain and the team never reported it (in fact, the local reporter that broke the oblique-injury story ... the team revoked his press credentials). Any chance at all Mahomes has something like that going on?