Except for when it does.
Rookie Patrick Mahomes. https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1689002287518437376?s=20
Rookie Patrick Mahomes. https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1689002287518437376?s=20
Not to nitpick, but wouldn't call those things "bad", just mostly meaningless, but better than the alternative.BAD
"X Player is wowing coaches this week in practice!"
"X Player looks to be in the best shape of his life!"
"X Player had an explosive 80 yard run in practice!"
Ja'Marr Chase can't catch the ball.
Never really gave drops much thought but I did just check and was surprised to see Ja'Marr had 11 drops in 17 games as a rookie (8.6%) and another 11 drops in 12 games last year (8.2%). His end of season numbers certainly mask that but, that's not a good rate at all. By comparison Davante has 23 drops over the last five seasons (74 games) and Jefferson has 12 total in two seasons.Ja'Marr Chase can't catch the ball.
Fair rebuttal.
But he still doesn't have an other-wordly catch rate and has dropsies. I picked him 1.01, too. Traded up to get him (cost me the 2.04). The problem with that line of thinking is how important are drops in the scheme of things other than coaches yanking you off of the field? Are drops consistent year-in and year-out? Are they a sticky stat?
For the first question, if Taylor is going to keep running Chase out there and designing plays for him (he has one of the highest first-read percentages among receivers), then who cares for fantasy if he drops one out of ten?
The second or third is where the interesting stat lies. Drops have been called "inconsistent" and "not sticky" by stat analysis guys. That's the thrust of it. So whether he dropped balls one year isn't really determinative of whether he'll drop them next year and the stat isn't predictive of the next year's drops.
Fun stuff!
Chase is definitely one of the best in the game but this seems like a potentially significant flaw in his game.
I think that's the thing though, some of the players will have a good preseason and follow it up in the regular season and some will be duds, but there's very little correlation between the two so can't predict one way or the other.My first memory of this was Kurt Warner. He looked incredible compared to Tony Banks but I stupidly though "preseason."
I think that's the thing though, some of the players will have a good preseason and follow it up in the regular season and some will be duds, but there's very little correlation between the two so can't predict one way or the other.My first memory of this was Kurt Warner. He looked incredible compared to Tony Banks but I stupidly though "preseason."
At least Tony had Genesis to fall back on...My first memory of this was Kurt Warner. He looked incredible compared to Tony Banks but I stupidly though "preseason."
Cam Newton made some sweet plays in the pre-season too of his rookie year. That's why I ended up drafting him everywhere. Paid off and went to the championship in both my leagues that year. I can see Anthony Richardson having a similar rookie year. I doubt he gets close to 4000 yards passing thoughThis is secretly an Anthony Richardson & Puka Nacua post.
This is a fantastic post. Exactly right.BAD
"X Player is wowing coaches this week in practice!"
"X Player looks to be in the best shape of his life!"
"X Player had an explosive 80 yard run in practice!"
GOOD
"X Player has been lining up in a different spot in practice so far."
"X Player has seen a ton of reps with the first team in practice so far"
"X Team has been using a lot of two TE formations so far."
Might get 4000 rushing tho.Cam Newton made some sweet plays in the pre-season too of his rookie year. That's why I ended up drafting him everywhere. Paid off and went to the championship in both my leagues that year. I can see Anthony Richardson having a similar rookie year. I doubt he gets closer to 4000 yards passing thoughThis is secretly an Anthony Richardson & Puka Nacua post.
Have you ever tried to catch smoke?The Chase can’t catch smoke sure was wild.