people just aren't looking at all the dynamics of game awareness
...
The 9ers have a good D
The 9ers hadn't stopped them all day. Who isn't looking at all the dynamics of game awareness?
The percentages I see people quoting. Forget what you've done in the past. New opponent, new K.
Assuming you can get a few yards on a good D anytime you want is kinda the problem here. Passing up the FG that would've put them 3 scores up was a terrible decision, regardless of the outcome. The 9ers needed something to happen and he handed it to them on a silver platter.
There's such a thing as being overly aggressive and Dan Campbell is the poster child right now. He made a decision like he was down 14 instead of up 14. The scary part is I'm not sure he learned anything.
No one's assuming they can get a few yards. It's a calculated risk. On the contrary, everyone else seems to be assuming that the kicker would have made the FG.
It's is mind-numbing to have to keep pointing out the same logical flaws in every single post about this. Campbell didn't pass up 3 points. He passed up an opportunity to kick a FG for an opportunity to pick up a first down. He didn't hand the 9ers anything on a silver platter. If the WR caught the ball that hit him in the hands, it would've been a huge dagger in the heart of SF. If the kicker had missed the FG, SF would've had all the same "momentum" that everyone says is so important by making the 4th down stop. Stop focusing on what happened and consider the entire universe of possible outcomes.
I would hope that if faced with that same situation 1,000 more times Campbell would make the same decision 1,000 times. There's nothing for him to learn from that one. It just didn't work out this time, which is a thing that happens when you take a calculated risk.