Concept Coop
Footballguy
He had an elite PFF grade and was top 10 in a bunch of the metrics we typically care about - on high volume, in a below average offense, behind a below average offensive line - and looked good doing it. I don't see obvious value in the 80/4.5 exercise. If there is any, we'd need to compare him to the rest of the league to extract it.Something to consider - let's set a bar at 80 yards and 4.5 ypc. How many games in 2019 did he clear that bar? 5. Against who? 4 opponents in the bottom 10 in fantasy points/game against opposing RB's - KC x2, GB, and CIN. His other was against Chicago when Akiem Hicks was injured in the first quarter. While it doesn't meet that arbitrary criteria we should probably also give him credit for the 28-120-2 performance against Detroit, but they allowed the most fantasy points per game in 2019.
Just to reiterate, I wouldn't read too much into that for 2021 purposes. RB's that perform well against bad competition and get a lot of touches are assets in our game. I don't think a repeat of 2019 and 2020 will be enough for him to get his option exercised and prevent competition being brought in '22. Am I going to pass up on a Kyle Pitts to gamble that he takes the necessary step? Nope.
I think the Raiders love him. But if they do opt against the 5th year, there's a solid enough chance his fantasy value survives. He'll have just turned 25.