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    RB A.J. Dillon, GB

    My thought is Lloyd is the #2 behind Jacobs. If something happens to Jacobs, Lloyd is the #2 behind Dillon. I think Lloyd will have his role as a "sparkplug" and barring injury to Jacobs will be the more productive RB, but I don't know how much they'll throw on his plate if Jacobs goes down.
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    RB A.J. Dillon, GB

    It really feels like between dumping Aaron Jones, signing Josh Jacobs and drafting Jordan Morgan in round 1, that Green Bay is going to go to more of a gap run blocking scheme than the zone one they've had for years. That's the system AJ Dillon was always suited for, and while I won't promise...
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    WR Marquise Brown, KC

    I don't think the market has adjusted yet vis a vis Rice being suspended (6 games feels like a lock, if not more) but I also think there is rightful apprehension that even when Rice is suspended, Hollywood is still the #3 option in the passing game, depending on what the individual person thinks...
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    WR Marquise Brown, KC

    I think the reason why people (myself included)) aren't higher on Brown is that while his opportunity looks great (especially if Rice is out) his opportunity has been great for most of his career. Its not like he's been stuck in bad offenses his whole career, other than 2023 when Kyler was out...
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    WR Rashee Rice, KC

    The interesting thing to me is where/how Rice wins, versus how Hollywood and Worthy win. Assuming Rice is suspended (a safe bet at this point) I think the real winner could be Travis Kelce, who people seem to be wanting to get out on because of his age. He didn't look like a guy losing a step...
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    RB Bucky Irving, TB

    I've found that being good at pass blocking and playing on 3rd downs has very little correlation. Ultimately receiving ability>>>>>pass blocking ability. Just for a quick example, if you look at the bottom-10 RBs at pass blocking in 2023, that list includes: Christian McCaffrey David...
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    WR Tyler Boyd, TEN

    You don't think Jermaine Burton blows past those guys?
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    WR Tyler Boyd, TEN

    Titans are signing Boyd to a 1-year deal. I'm of 2 minds here. On the one hand, I think Boyd has clearly declined to the point where he's not longer capable of being anything more than just a slot guy. Truth be told, I'm not sure he's better than Kyle Phillips or Treylon Burks (who should have...
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    Who are your top 5 rookie busts for 2024?

    I can agree with most of the potential downsides of these guys, but I don't know about the McConkey one. I don't see Roman as having anything to do with Bateman disappointing. That has everything to do with Bateman and his injuries. Even with Roman gone, its not like Bateman suddenly broke out...
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    RB Derrick Henry, BAL

    I think a fair amount (not all, but enough to make a difference) of the difference in YBC between Henry and Spears was Spears getting runs on 3rd and long. Even having lost Moses and Zeitler (I'd argue Simpson is addition by subtraction) I think the 2024 Ravens OL is A LOT better than the 2023...
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    RB Sean Tucker, TB

    Feeling like Tucker is 50-50 to make the team after the Irving pick, and the Edmonds re-signing.
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    WR Tyler Boyd, TEN

    He's an old 29, and not one of the top-64 WRs in the NFL. No surprise his market is small. Is he better than DJ Chark? Probably. Does he want more money than a guy like Chark? Also probably.
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    RB Derrick Henry, BAL

    I feel like I'm gonna be on a pretty big island with Henry here, but I'm not getting these low YPC totals at all. I'd be SHOCKED if he was under 5.0 YPC. I think there is some greatly underappreciating how much playing with Lamar Jackson adds. Lamar has been carrying this running game for years...
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    WR D.J. Chark, LAC

    I think its really unrealistic to think the Chargers will be as run heavy as those 49ers teams were. If they are, then Harbaugh was a bad hire. That isn't to say they won't be more run heavy than the recent Chargers teams, but those 49ers teams had a top-5 defense all 4 seasons (highly unlikely...
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    2024 Miami Dolphins: Chop, Chop !!

    Yeah, I'm really surprised by the pushback here. This a great deal for a player who can start if need be and will likely destroy #3 CBs even if he's 2 steps off his prime. No risk, high reward. Also means they aren't counting on someone like Malik Washington (who I like but was still a day 3...
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    2024 Miami Dolphins: Chop, Chop !!

    I feel like Berrios is safe as the KR/PR. My gut says Ezukanma doesn't make the team, and the rookies are fighting for 1 spot (PS is an option too) I think Beckham is a vastly underrated WR at this point, and was arguably one the best FA WRs available, not just now, but 2 months ago. It was...
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    WR Keon Coleman, BUF

    I think the "bigger contested catch WR in college=NFL bust" narrative is a little overstated I think due to some recency bias specifically N'Keal Harry (who I always thought was overrated, Coleman is a better prospect than he was) and Laquon Treadwell. However, looking at WRs who were over 6-1...
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    2024 Buffalo Bills

    Bills signed Quintez Cephus and Chase Claypool. Feel like there is a good chance one of them makes the team. I think Keon Coleman is very misrepresented as a prospect. I see a guy whose ceiling is as high as anyone's, he just needs to REALLY iron out his consistency. His size/speed is almost...
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    WR D.J. Chark, LAC

    I think Johnston gets every chance to establish himself this year, and Chark is insurance in case that doesn't happen. Chark is the #4 WR to start out in my opinion.
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    RB Bucky Irving, TB

    The issue for White is Irving has one skill he's really good at, and that's pass catching, and while White is also good at it, if you are going to take touches off White's plate, that's the logical place to start, as its the only aspect of RB that someone on the team is as good (arguably better)...
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