Adjusted to use the NYT's own words...NYTIMES Endorses Both Warren and Klobuchar One for the moreliberalradical base and one for the moremoderaterealist base.
Adjusted to use the NYT's own words...NYTIMES Endorses Both Warren and Klobuchar One for the moreliberalradical base and one for the moremoderaterealist base.
Apparently I am Bloomberg.WaPo has a fun little quiz, Which of these 2020 candidates agrees with you the most? My results were somewhat expected:
Yang's score surprised me a bit, and I think they were awfully generous in how they characterized his positions--for example, they have him supporting government-provided healthcare for everyone. His official position is that he "supports the spirit" of Medicare for All, while his plan looks a lot more like ACA-style "bending the cost curve" stuff:Code:Number of times candidate agreed with you (out of 20) Warren 14 Yang 13 Sanders 10 Buttigieg 9 Klobuchar 8 Steyer 8 Bloomberg 7 Biden 5 Gabbard 5
I don't consider that a positive attribute of Trump, I'm not sure why we want Bernie to also be that way.Matt Stoller @matthewstoller
What @ZephyrTeachout said is 100% accurate and everyone knows it. Bernie lacks a killer instinct. //
Say what you want about Trump, but he knows how to go for the jugular. He doesn't just take #### lying down.
Not saying Sanders should insult Rubio's height or Rand Paul's haircut. But throwing people like Teachout under the bus and playing nice with an establishment that undercuts him at every turn is extremely weak on his part, and bad politics. They're not going to stop because he keeps apologizing for his most dedicated supporters- they're going to trash him even harder.I don't consider that a positive attribute of Trump, I'm not sure why we want Bernie to also be that way.
All of that may be true, but Bernie isn't like Trump. Trump could trash all his Republican opponents because his sole interest was winning for himself. If Trump lost, I don't think he cared at all about whether the Democrat or Republican won. And I guess Trump was unconcerned that if he made fun of his Republican opponents, their supporters would turn against him in the general election.Not saying Sanders should insult Rubio's height or Rand Paul's haircut. But throwing people like Teachout under the bus and playing nice with an establishment that undercuts him at every turn is extremely weak on his part, and bad politics. They're not going to stop because he keeps apologizing for his most dedicated supporters- they're going to trash him even harder.
I don't really follow this one. What reason is there for people who care about policies such as M4A, ending a predatory financial system, and ending bogus wars of choice to support a candidate like Biden? He takes money from insurance/pharmaceutical lobbies and then does what they want. He is financed by the credit card industry. He supported the drug war and even now is still making excuses not to legalize marijuana. He has gone after medicare & social security on tape on many different occasions. He supports basically every variant of military aggression.Bernie actually cares about policy. If Biden is the Democratic nominee, Bernie will very much prefer a Biden Presidency to a Trump one. And if Bernie is the nominee, he desperately needs those Biden voters to support him in the general election.
Bernie's policy views are much closer to Biden's views than they are to Trump's views.I don't really follow this one. What reason is there for people who care about policies such as M4A, ending a predatory financial system, and ending bogus wars of choice to support a candidate like Biden? He takes money from insurance/pharmaceutical lobbies and then does what they want. He is financed by the credit card industry. He supported the drug war and even now is still making excuses not to legalize marijuana. He has gone after medicare & social security on tape on many different occasions. He supports basically every variant of military aggression.
Sanders might see enough of an incremental difference there to endorse him (I don't see it at all- I think every single harmful policy of Trump's would remain), but why should people who care about policy go along? Biden and Sanders are lightyears apart on that.
I care about policy, healthcare and environmental policy in particular.Sanders might see enough of an incremental difference there to endorse him (I don't see it at all- I think every single harmful policy of Trump's would remain), but why should people who care about policy go along?
CNN:
Sanders 27%
Biden 24%
Warren 14%
Buttigieg 11%
Bloomberg 5%
Klobuchar 4%
Yang 4%
Morning Consult:
Biden 29%
Sanders 24%
Warren 15%
Bloomberg 10%
Buttigieg 8%
Yang 4%
Klobuchar 3%
The Economist/YouGov
Biden 28%
Warren 21%
Sanders 18%
Buttigieg 8%
Bloomberg 6%
Klobuchar 4%
Yang 3%
Monmouth
Biden 30%
Sanders 23%
Warren 14%
Bloomberg 9%
Buttigieg 6%
Klobuchar 5%
Yang 3%
I can't believe he would say this in an election year.Big surprise. Trump wants to cut entitlements. How are Medicare, SS and SSDI entitlements if we paid into it!
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/01/22/us/politics/trump-entitlement-cuts.amp.html
I don't think it's out there. It probably won't be or if it is he'll call NY Times fake news. Makes sense though that he'd do it second term.I can't believe he would say this in an election year.
Looks like the Buttigieg thing isn't happening.Four national polls released today! The Economist remains Warren's best poll by far.
Code:CNN: Sanders 27% Biden 24% Warren 14% Buttigieg 11% Bloomberg 5% Klobuchar 4% Yang 4% Morning Consult: Biden 29% Sanders 24% Warren 15% Bloomberg 10% Buttigieg 8% Yang 4% Klobuchar 3% The Economist/YouGov Biden 28% Warren 21% Sanders 18% Buttigieg 8% Bloomberg 6% Klobuchar 4% Yang 3% Monmouth Biden 30% Sanders 23% Warren 14% Bloomberg 9% Buttigieg 6% Klobuchar 5% Yang 3%
Bloomberg 14 - Biden 13 - Buttigieg 11WaPo has a fun little quiz, Which of these 2020 candidates agrees with you the most? My results were somewhat expected:
Yang's score surprised me a bit, and I think they were awfully generous in how they characterized his positions--for example, they have him supporting government-provided healthcare for everyone. His official position is that he "supports the spirit" of Medicare for All, while his plan looks a lot more like ACA-style "bending the cost curve" stuff:Code:Number of times candidate agreed with you (out of 20) Warren 14 Yang 13 Sanders 10 Buttigieg 9 Klobuchar 8 Steyer 8 Bloomberg 7 Biden 5 Gabbard 5
Ryan Struyk@ryanstruyk
New head-to-heads in national @CNN poll just out:
Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%
6:30 AM · Jan 22, 2020
Fixed. Thanks.Seems like the formatting on that tweet is off, or they didn't copy paste everything correctly.
Added this to the Official FFA Contested Convention threadThe 538 model gives about a 15% chance of a contested convention.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-what-are-the-chances-of-a-brokered-convention/
Nate Silver thinks the model is underestimating the chance a bit.
https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1220390108983123968
There will be a lot of wasted votes on people who have dropped out of the election.I'm all for extending the window of voting and allowing early voting and #### - but MN has early voting that started January 17th for the primary which isn't until March 3rd. That seems way too early.
First off virtual shoe In is too strong. I think he’s by far the most likely but that’s not the same thing.Question for you guys like @timschochet who think Biden is a virtual shoe it. Let's say Biden is at 30%, Bernie 25%, and Warren 15%. If all three stay in the race, it would be a contested convention. However if it narrows to a two person race, wouldn't you expect Bernie and Warren numbers to go mostly to the remaining candidate? How do you see this playing out where Biden gets 50% of the vote?
I'm sure it can't hurt her (obviously) but how much do newspaper endorsement really matter any more? Seems completely pointless.The Des Moines Register has endorsed Warren:
Des Moines Register @DMRegister
@ewarren’s competence, respect for others and status as the nation’s first female president would be a fitting response to the ignorance, sexism and xenophobia of the Trump Oval Office, the Register’s editorial board writes. #IAcaucus
Endorsement: Elizabeth Warren will push an unequal America in the right direction
For national elections my guess is not much—especially in a place like IA where candidates have been visibly, aggressively campaigning for months.I'm sure it can't hurt her (obviously) but how much do newspaper endorsements really matter any more?
Good point and I was remiss in not mentioning that part. Definitely see the value in local races.For national elections my guess is not much—especially in a place like IA where candidates have been visibly, aggressively campaigning for months.
Nice... so much for Perez and Sanders' "unity" tour. This was what people were upset about in 2016, the real reason why Trump won, which Russia and now Impeachment sideshows have obscured- the Democratic Party is manifestly corrupt and rigged against progressive policy.Tom Perez appoints notorious Bernie haters Barney Frank and Maria Cardona as DNC Convention Rules Committee co-chairs
The fix is in.....again
Let’s accept your claim that Tom Perez is actively doing whatever he can to prevent a Sanders nomination. Please explain exactly what that would be and how it will be effective.Nice... so much for Perez and Sanders' "unity" tour. This was what people were upset about in 2016, the real reason why Trump won, which Russia and now Impeachment sideshows have obscured- the Democratic Party is manifestly corrupt and rigged against progressive policy.
Kevin Gosztola has compiled a nice thread on Perez's nomination list. Basically a corporate/natsec freakshow: https://twitter.com/kgosztola/status/1221167638254161920
Read Gosztola's thread. Look at the people Perez picked. It's a who's who of corporate strategists, Israel lobby, pro-fracking, pro-banking, health insurance flacks, chickenhawks, status quo insiders.Let’s accept your claim that Tom Perez is actively doing whatever he can to prevent a Sanders nomination. Please explain exactly what that would be and how it will be effective.
I don’t think those differences mean anything at all, because I don’t think most Americans have even heard of Buttigeig or Kobuchar - or even if they have heard the names, they know virtually nothing about them.I was just looking at the new Fox News Poll and general election head-to-heads. All candidates they asked about beat Trump but some only narrowly:
Biden 50 Trump 41
Warren 47 Trump 41
Sanders 48 Trump 42
Buttigeig 45 Trump 41
Bloomberg 49 Trump 41
Kobuchar 43 Trump 42
The narrative is that a moderate has a much better shot against Trump than a progressive but I'm wondering if this might be overblown. Maybe that accounts for 1%?
Yes, my point is more about the other four.I don’t think those differences mean anything at all, because I don’t think most Americans have even heard of Buttigeig or Kobuchar - or even if they have heard the names, they know virtually nothing about them.
Really starting to feel l.ike this is Bernie’s year. Not so much for Joe.ShamrockPride said:
You could probably copy this and then paste it every single day until the election.I can't believe he would say this in an election year.
That was odd.