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Wait, who? I didn't look at the list before I posted the link. Just looked and I don't see any FBG on the list at all. I know historically multiple FBGs did pretty well in the rankings, maybe they're not included last year for some reason?
Dodds has decent rankings but his upgrade/downgrade/ww advice during the season is a joke
As a long time subscriber, I preferred when the site had less analysts and more focus. It seems like the quality of advice has gone down as the site has tried to do more. Sometimes less is more.
not really sure either. Fantasypros also changed the way they graded accuracy but I haven't seen FBG's accuracy ratings for awhile.
My favorites from FBG are Bloom of course, and Bob Henry.
It's about knowing the situations that players are in and making reasonable forecasts based on that information. If you don't have enough time to do all that research, then you rely more on the "experts." But I agree--it's not as if some guys have the gift of clairvoyance and others don't.
I think we are complaining for the sake of complaining when we start to voice annoyance with what these people call themselves or what others call them.
Agree with everything you said, except for the bolded. Were we all to to spend the time that the "experts" do, I would wager that prediction outcomes (who performed better at season's end, "experts" or "average Joes with the same amount of time invested") would be pretty random. But that's the rub--we don't have that time, hence we pay up. But every time I hear "fantasy football expert," I
. And on some level, I'm sure the "experts" do, too.well, sure, if we had the time we could be comparable.Agree with everything you said, except for the bolded. Were we all to to spend the time that the "experts" do, I would wager that prediction outcomes (who performed better at season's end, "experts" or "average Joes with the same amount of time invested") would be pretty random. But that's the rub--we don't have that time, hence we pay up. But every time I hear "fantasy football expert," I
When we are all wrong more often than we are right, and the "experts" are wrong more often than they are right.... oops?
I can't answer the why, but FBG didn't participate last year, so it's no reflection on their performance in '17. They did used to participate and do pretty well. Looking back at old lists, it looks like FBG stopped submitting after 2015.
I think this is the best way to approach the FBG content, as a buffet of information.
I thought I heard it costs money to submit fantasy rankings to Fantasy Pros. Also, the projections for FantasyPros is based on end of the year macro results and most people don't draft that way. I don't draft the 50th WR off the board in the 12th round hoping he finishes the year with the 50th best stats. I hope that he performs like a top 20 WR and am ready to cut him for a WW pick-up when that likely doesn't happen. Like there is no way I end up drafting Sanu but I would draft Courtland Sutton. Sanu is almost sure to get more targets and finish with better stats. However, he obviously doesn't have the kind of upside Sutton does.
Key conclusion from that article, imo:
So predicting fantasy football performance is a lot like stock market forecasting, in that no one reliably beats collective wisdom year after year.
Exactly. It's a fascinating concept.Arodin said:
