SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
There are some readily available old threads which define some of the math underlying setting player worth / auction values which is somewhat relevant to the annual subscriber contest.
Example: http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=543168
However, the contest is more complex than setting auction values for a league including N teams, in that:
1. There is a pool of players to choose from, but there is only one team...the team that you select.
2. Although the starter set is defined (1Qb/2Rb/2Wr/1TE/1Flex/1Pk/1Def in the 2013 contest), the "non-flyer" roster size is variable, perhaps 18 core players and 6 flyers.
3. In traditional auction math you set budgets for backups and for starters and use best backup for starter baseline, but the options are more complex for contest math
In particular, a simple model for starters and backups might be: (qbs here, similar "tiers" for RBs, WRs, TEs)
1a. Elite Qbs - Top 5
1b. Very good Qbs - Rank 6-12
1c. Other Qbs who will likely start more than 14 games - Ranks 12-24
2. Backup pool
Can you propose a mathematical framework for "optimizing" the 18 core players which could involve various combinations of 1-3 QBs, 2-4 RBs, 2-4 WRs, 1-3 TEs, etc?
Obviously this borders on ridiculous levels of paralysis by analysis, but I am curious to what extent others have "gone down this path" and would care to share insights into a "rational method"...
Example: http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=543168
However, the contest is more complex than setting auction values for a league including N teams, in that:
1. There is a pool of players to choose from, but there is only one team...the team that you select.
2. Although the starter set is defined (1Qb/2Rb/2Wr/1TE/1Flex/1Pk/1Def in the 2013 contest), the "non-flyer" roster size is variable, perhaps 18 core players and 6 flyers.
3. In traditional auction math you set budgets for backups and for starters and use best backup for starter baseline, but the options are more complex for contest math
In particular, a simple model for starters and backups might be: (qbs here, similar "tiers" for RBs, WRs, TEs)
1a. Elite Qbs - Top 5
1b. Very good Qbs - Rank 6-12
1c. Other Qbs who will likely start more than 14 games - Ranks 12-24
2. Backup pool
Can you propose a mathematical framework for "optimizing" the 18 core players which could involve various combinations of 1-3 QBs, 2-4 RBs, 2-4 WRs, 1-3 TEs, etc?
Obviously this borders on ridiculous levels of paralysis by analysis, but I am curious to what extent others have "gone down this path" and would care to share insights into a "rational method"...
Dot city.
