unckeyherb
Footballguy
Sure, but obviously the knock on effect of the lack of rushing attempts against us is the increase in passing attempts. In today's NFL, the more you have to defend the pass, the worse you are going to do.
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*** San Francisco 49ers *** OTAs underway. Pearsall looking good, but Aiyuk and Jennings absent (53 Viewers)
- Thread starter Wingnut
- Start date
fred_1_15301
Footballguy
True but it really is a bad secondary. Guys are running around wide open all the time against them.
Deamon
Footballguy
So how come you stopped giving all your Hurts stats updates halfway through last nights game anyways?
Wingnut
Footballguy
I had to leave for work at Halftime so I didn't watch the 2nd half.
Deamon
Footballguy
lol how Convenient!
If true, the superstitious part of me would like you to leave at halftime next week too
Wingnut
Footballguy
I work overnights all over Florida. I usually leave around 9pm but had to go to Naples, which is 2 hours away. I worked because SF was off. When they play on Sunday I don't schedule work for those nights.lol how Convenient!
If true, the superstitious part of me would like you to leave at halftime next week too
Deamon
Footballguy
Fair enough. I think you should finish the job though and post the final stats lol.I work overnights all over Florida. I usually leave around 9pm but had to go to Naples, which is 2 hours away. I worked because SF was off. When they play on Sunday I don't schedule work for those nights.lol how Convenient!
If true, the superstitious part of me would like you to leave at halftime next week too
Not trying to be cocky(i actually think you guys will win next week), but I'm curious on your unbiased thoughts on Hurts/Philly's 2nd half since you were so vocal about their first half.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Vocal? I made 2 posts with stats before halftime. Haven't looked at the final stats, what Hurts did against Buffalo doesn't matter. Let's see what he does Sunday against the 49ers.Fair enough. I think you should finish the job though and post the final stats lol.I work overnights all over Florida. I usually leave around 9pm but had to go to Naples, which is 2 hours away. I worked because SF was off. When they play on Sunday I don't schedule work for those nights.lol how Convenient!
If true, the superstitious part of me would like you to leave at halftime next week too
Not trying to be cocky(i actually think you guys will win next week), but I'm curious on your unbiased thoughts on Hurts/Philly's 2nd half since you were so vocal about their first half.
Deamon
Footballguy
Well you were clearly wanting to point out his struggles but ignore his successes.Vocal? I made 2 posts with stats before halftime. Haven't looked at the final stats, what Hurts did against Buffalo doesn't matter. Let's see what he does Sunday against the 49ers.Fair enough. I think you should finish the job though and post the final stats lol.I work overnights all over Florida. I usually leave around 9pm but had to go to Naples, which is 2 hours away. I worked because SF was off. When they play on Sunday I don't schedule work for those nights.lol how Convenient!
If true, the superstitious part of me would like you to leave at halftime next week too
Not trying to be cocky(i actually think you guys will win next week), but I'm curious on your unbiased thoughts on Hurts/Philly's 2nd half since you were so vocal about their first half.
I think he'll do okay Sunday, but still think you guys win by 4.
modogg
Footballguy
certainly is able to be taken advantage of. One thing I will give this secondary though is that they certainly may give up a lot of yards and open catches, but they can be opportunistic like Byard against Mahones, and Bradberry against Allen.
Doesn't make it any easier on the blood pressure of Eagles' fans', but maybe that is how Desai has the secondary planned to play. The talent isn't there with the age the secondary has now
Wingnut
Footballguy
Rookie DE Robert Beal Jr (Georgia) has been activated from IR.
He runs a 4.48 at 247 pounds. He can potentially be a contributor on special teams for the 49ers as well as get some snaps in the DE rotation.
I imagine he will take snaps from Gergory who hasn't done much since we traded for him.
He runs a 4.48 at 247 pounds. He can potentially be a contributor on special teams for the 49ers as well as get some snaps in the DE rotation.
I imagine he will take snaps from Gergory who hasn't done much since we traded for him.
This is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
Wingnut
Footballguy
First time in the SB era or something I heard last night.
Deamon
Footballguy
Not sure how rain would help Philly more than SF. CMC is a beast, I'm not so sure Philly wants that to be a bad field conditions game.This is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
With equal rest, I'd say the game would be a coin flip on a neutral field, and Philly -3 at home.
That 10 days rest for SF is MASSIVE, especially when Philly is banged up, coming off two bruising games in 6 days, and now just another 6 days to get ready for this one. Think the line is about right.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Debateable
Philly has maybe the best OL in football and a running QB to boot, while Purdy has already shown that he struggles a bit in the rain and poor weather conditions always seem to screw up Shanahan's system. SF's OL is not very good and the defense has also been very inconsistent against the run. Poor conditions strongly favor the Eagles.Not sure how rain would help Philly more than SF. CMC is a beast, I'm not so sure Philly wants that to be a bad field conditions game.This is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
With equal rest, I'd say the game would be a coin flip on a neutral field, and Philly -3 at home.
That 10 days rest for SF is MASSIVE, especially when Philly is banged up, coming off two bruising games in 6 days, and now just another 6 days to get ready for this one. Think the line is about right.
I don't really think so.
Wingnut
Footballguy
I see what you're doing here.
Ha. I actually believe it. They are obviously 10-1, have some really good wins under their belt, and just seem like a team that knows it's going to win every week and does all the little things to make that happen. They've looked vulnerable at times and don't necessarily have statistics that will blow you away, but IMO you have to nerd out to make the case that SF is better.
Don't do that.
renesauz
IBL Representative
I actually think the line might be too low. Three more days of rest and preparation is huge, especially with Eagles coming off an OT game.If Buffalo doesn't drop 2 gimmie TDs, next week would be a fight for the #1 seed.
I actually think the Eagles pulling out the win vs Buffalo was a good thing because I don't think they'd lose 2 in a row at home.
They look VERY beatable, they just played 5 physical and emotional quarters, got banged up a bit, and have 6 days rest while we have 10.
I REALLY like our chances to knock em off their perch next week.
Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
renesauz
IBL Representative
All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Care to elaborate? I know SF got a very short end of the stick facing rested opponents this year (although it's overblown).All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
ChiefD
Footballguy
Lots of good points in here.
One thing I've realized more than ever, especially this year, is that the NFL literally is a league of 17 one-game seasons.
What I mean by that is that the "Any Given Sunday" mantra is absolutely true. In that what you see one week means absolutely nothing in terms of the next week. So many variables go into a season:
1. Injuries
2. Timing of schedule
3. Who is playing better at the time of the schedule
4. Matchups
5. Weather
The game is really about execution. On any given day the team that can execute their plays better than the other team wins. Period.
This year especially. Early on I thought the Niners were the best team in football. Then I see the Eagles and I think, well, they are the best team in football. But I also know the Chiefs are very capable of winning the Super Bowl this year. And a couple of other teams.
It's a fascinating year with some fascinating teams and they all have flaws. Should be a fantastic end of season here as these teams jockey for position.
One thing I've realized more than ever, especially this year, is that the NFL literally is a league of 17 one-game seasons.
What I mean by that is that the "Any Given Sunday" mantra is absolutely true. In that what you see one week means absolutely nothing in terms of the next week. So many variables go into a season:
1. Injuries
2. Timing of schedule
3. Who is playing better at the time of the schedule
4. Matchups
5. Weather
The game is really about execution. On any given day the team that can execute their plays better than the other team wins. Period.
This year especially. Early on I thought the Niners were the best team in football. Then I see the Eagles and I think, well, they are the best team in football. But I also know the Chiefs are very capable of winning the Super Bowl this year. And a couple of other teams.
It's a fascinating year with some fascinating teams and they all have flaws. Should be a fantastic end of season here as these teams jockey for position.
unckeyherb
Footballguy
Eagles SOS is insane and all the high level teams are in a row for the most part.Care to elaborate? I know SF got a very short end of the stick facing rested opponents this year (although it's overblown).All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
Miami
Washington
Cowboys
Chiefs
Bills
Niners
Cowboys
Seattle
With exception to Washington (which, lets face it ALWAYS plays the Eagles tough) the rest of that stretch is ridiculous. On top of that, we just played the Bills on short rest, this week we are playing against SF who is coming off of 10 days rest, next week we're playing Dallas who will be coming off 10 days rest. It is what it is and they are handling their business. Its just crazy that the two biggest games of the year w/r/t NFC seeding and NFCE implications we are playing both rival teams that are coming off mini byes.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
I wouldn't consider the Cowboys a tough game. They have wins against Jets, Pats, Panthers, Chargers, Rams, Giants, Wash. 22-55 record among those teams. The Bills are a .500 team and Seattle 6-5Eagles SOS is insane and all the high level teams are in a row for the most part.Care to elaborate? I know SF got a very short end of the stick facing rested opponents this year (although it's overblown).All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
Miami
Washington
Cowboys
Chiefs
Bills
Niners
Cowboys
Seattle
With exception to Washington (which, lets face it ALWAYS plays the Eagles tough) the rest of that stretch is ridiculous. On top of that, we just played the Bills on short rest, this week we are playing against SF who is coming off of 10 days rest, next week we're playing Dallas who will be coming off 10 days rest. It is what it is and they are handling their business. Its just crazy that the two biggest games of the year w/r/t NFC seeding and NFCE implications we are playing both rival teams that are coming off mini byes.
unckeyherb
Footballguy
yeah, its an NFC East matchup. Divisional rivals always tougher. But I take your point. I'm more talking about the three weeks in a row where we're playing with less rest than the other team-the last two of which the other team has a mini bye.I wouldn't consider the Cowboys a tough game. They have wins against Jets, Pats, Panthers, Chargers, Rams, Giants, Wash. 22-55 record among those teams. The Bills are a .500 team and Seattle 6-5Eagles SOS is insane and all the high level teams are in a row for the most part.Care to elaborate? I know SF got a very short end of the stick facing rested opponents this year (although it's overblown).All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
Miami
Washington
Cowboys
Chiefs
Bills
Niners
Cowboys
Seattle
With exception to Washington (which, lets face it ALWAYS plays the Eagles tough) the rest of that stretch is ridiculous. On top of that, we just played the Bills on short rest, this week we are playing against SF who is coming off of 10 days rest, next week we're playing Dallas who will be coming off 10 days rest. It is what it is and they are handling their business. Its just crazy that the two biggest games of the year w/r/t NFC seeding and NFCE implications we are playing both rival teams that are coming off mini byes.
Like I said, I'm not making excuses, that's the way the chips fall and I think we have a good shot at winning both games. Just responding to your post asking for elaboration.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
I believe SF drew an even shorter stick on the opponents rest day deal. I posted a study and it really only mattered when the rested team was traveling away like this week SF/Philly.yeah, its an NFC East matchup. Divisional rivals always tougher. But I take your point. I'm more talking about the three weeks in a row where we're playing with less rest than the other team-the last two of which the other team has a mini bye.I wouldn't consider the Cowboys a tough game. They have wins against Jets, Pats, Panthers, Chargers, Rams, Giants, Wash. 22-55 record among those teams. The Bills are a .500 team and Seattle 6-5Eagles SOS is insane and all the high level teams are in a row for the most part.Care to elaborate? I know SF got a very short end of the stick facing rested opponents this year (although it's overblown).All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
Miami
Washington
Cowboys
Chiefs
Bills
Niners
Cowboys
Seattle
With exception to Washington (which, lets face it ALWAYS plays the Eagles tough) the rest of that stretch is ridiculous. On top of that, we just played the Bills on short rest, this week we are playing against SF who is coming off of 10 days rest, next week we're playing Dallas who will be coming off 10 days rest. It is what it is and they are handling their business. Its just crazy that the two biggest games of the year w/r/t NFC seeding and NFCE implications we are playing both rival teams that are coming off mini byes.
Like I said, I'm not making excuses, that's the way the chips fall and I think we have a good shot at winning both games. Just responding to your post asking for elaboration.
Chiefs/Bills/Niners is an amazing stretch of great games. Philly is getting battle tested.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Gotta be kidding me. Can't call a player garbage now? And deleted my whole post because of it? Smh.
Scooby1974
Footballguy
That was an unbelievable throw...and got it to Aiyuk in time for him to catch it, protect himself, and score.
unckeyherb
Footballguy
I gotta agree with Wingnut and that tastes like vinegar to say. Def disagree about Reddick though; he's the man and pound for pound probably better than Nick Bosa.
Scooby1974
Footballguy
I think this game will come down to the SF Defensive line getting to Hurts and flustering him into mistakes, which is is prone to make under duress. He sits protected by the best line in football, a monstrous advantage. I don't see the SF D line getting bullied like most teams do though.
Meanwhile Brock is behind the 23rd ranked OL, but is putting up #1 and #2 ranked numbers in Effieciency in spite of very little time to process. The Eagles DBs can't run with SF's WRs or CMC out of the backfield and Kittle up the gut. Brock doesn't need much time, but please, put somebody on the DE's that can block for 2 seconds, even if it means not sending out so many receivers. haha
This is going to be a WAR.
Meanwhile Brock is behind the 23rd ranked OL, but is putting up #1 and #2 ranked numbers in Effieciency in spite of very little time to process. The Eagles DBs can't run with SF's WRs or CMC out of the backfield and Kittle up the gut. Brock doesn't need much time, but please, put somebody on the DE's that can block for 2 seconds, even if it means not sending out so many receivers. haha
This is going to be a WAR.
unckeyherb
Footballguy
I generally agree with your assessment, although I would say that Hurts doesn't really get flustered, certainly not into mistakes. He's made some bad decisions, no doubt. But most of them have just been bad decisions, not under duress. He's also had a bunch of int's be weird tipped ball and/or bounce off the receivers' hands type picks.
Word on the street is that Lane Johnson will play which puts the overall game advantage back in our court (I said, if Lane doesn't play we lose the game.) I expect everyone to come out with their hair on fire to start and then settle in. I believe our Oline matches up well with your Dline and our Dline is better than your Oline, which makes all the difference. If we can't get to Purdy early and often he will pick us apart, no doubt about it. If we can formulate some kind of a consistent offense for four ****ing quarters we should win. We haven't been able to do that yet this year and continue to win. That won't be the case on Sunday.
I ****ing hate the Niners but I definitely respect them-this game has been circled on my calendar from the moment it was announced. I just want a clean, healthy game where we can finally see who the cream of the NFC really is. Its gonna be epic. GL to yall.
Totally depends on the player lol
Wingnut
Footballguy
Eagles' defensive ranks when defending short passes over the middle of the field:
#31 in EPA/play
#29 in Success Rate
#30 in Explosives allowed
#23 in YAC allowed
Gee, where does Kyle Shanahan like to attack the field..
#31 in EPA/play
#29 in Success Rate
#30 in Explosives allowed
#23 in YAC allowed
Gee, where does Kyle Shanahan like to attack the field..
Wingnut
Footballguy
Brandon Aiyuk is not of this earth. It's him and then errbody else in his rear view. He's almost literally off the charts.
How well WRs separate (X axis) and how well they do at the catch-point/after the catch (Y axis):
How well WRs separate (X axis) and how well they do at the catch-point/after the catch (Y axis):
Wingnut
Footballguy
Sunday DVOA matchups:
49ers #1 Offense vs Eagles #17 defense
Eagles #7 Offense vs 49ers #6 defense
This next one is interesting. For all the hype the Eagles D line gets theyre 22nd on this list while the 49ers are 3rd.
Best 4 man pass rushing combos for every team (min 15 snaps together) and where they rank relative to other 4 man combos in terms of pressure rate this season (chart in link)
Bosa - Armstead - Hargrave - Young:
59.26% pressure rate, 11.11% sack rate
Cox - Reddick - Carter - Sweat:
37.93% pressure rate, 5.17% sack rate
49ers #1 Offense vs Eagles #17 defense
Eagles #7 Offense vs 49ers #6 defense
This next one is interesting. For all the hype the Eagles D line gets theyre 22nd on this list while the 49ers are 3rd.
Best 4 man pass rushing combos for every team (min 15 snaps together) and where they rank relative to other 4 man combos in terms of pressure rate this season (chart in link)
Bosa - Armstead - Hargrave - Young:
59.26% pressure rate, 11.11% sack rate
Cox - Reddick - Carter - Sweat:
37.93% pressure rate, 5.17% sack rate
Wingnut
Footballguy
DVOA ranking of special teams:
49ers #25
Eagles #5
49ers are doing a bit of an overhaul to their Special Teams after losing ace George Odom, who led the NFL in special teams tackles last season, to injury.
3 key recent additions:
CB Darrell Luter Jr (from IR)
DE Robert Beal Jr (from IR)
S Erik Harris (Free agent)
Luter brings a new dimension to the 49ers ST: Speed. Check out his first NFL tackle on the second half kickoff vs Seattle last week. Saved a TD, and Seattle settled for 3 on that drive:
Luter Jr tackle
Robert Beal, Jr is a 5th round pick DE from Georgia. Hes 6"4', 250, twitchy, and runs a 4.48 40. Look for his NFL debut Sunday on ST and to take edge snaps from Randy Gregory. I think he makes an immediate impact.
Erik Harris is an 8 year veteran safety, most recently with Atlanta, and has logged over 1500 special teams snaps in his career. If anything he should be steady on ST.
We have the better punter, they have an edge at kicker, and their return game has been better.
Adding those 3 players could bring a new energy to that unit. Hopefully we see results right away.
49ers #25
Eagles #5
49ers are doing a bit of an overhaul to their Special Teams after losing ace George Odom, who led the NFL in special teams tackles last season, to injury.
3 key recent additions:
CB Darrell Luter Jr (from IR)
DE Robert Beal Jr (from IR)
S Erik Harris (Free agent)
Luter brings a new dimension to the 49ers ST: Speed. Check out his first NFL tackle on the second half kickoff vs Seattle last week. Saved a TD, and Seattle settled for 3 on that drive:
Luter Jr tackle
Robert Beal, Jr is a 5th round pick DE from Georgia. Hes 6"4', 250, twitchy, and runs a 4.48 40. Look for his NFL debut Sunday on ST and to take edge snaps from Randy Gregory. I think he makes an immediate impact.
Erik Harris is an 8 year veteran safety, most recently with Atlanta, and has logged over 1500 special teams snaps in his career. If anything he should be steady on ST.
We have the better punter, they have an edge at kicker, and their return game has been better.
Adding those 3 players could bring a new energy to that unit. Hopefully we see results right away.
renesauz
IBL Representative
Got KC off their bye (no advantage/disadvantage when most get at least one in season game with significantly more rest) on a Monday, so next opponent (Buffalo) gets extra prep time. Get SF next, when SF played on a Thursday, so SF gets extra time. Then Dallas has a Thursday game...guess who their next opponent is? IN all it's not just 6 straight games against playoff teams, but four of those teams come into the game with extra rest. It's a bit over the top.Care to elaborate? I know SF got a very short end of the stick facing rested opponents this year (although it's overblown).All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
These things generally balance out for teams. Play a couple games where the opponent gets extra, play a game or three where you get extra. It was far from balanced for the Eagles this year
renesauz
IBL Representative
Pretty sure the Bills are the most dangerous .500 team I've ever seen (and weren't .500 coming into the game). The Cowboys are 8-3 and have generally crushed everyone at home. I'll spot you Washington, but as an Eagles fan I can tell you the records never matter with them...they ALWAYS play Philly tough. Seattle is fighting for a playoff spot, and THAT game is also in Seattle.I wouldn't consider the Cowboys a tough game. They have wins against Jets, Pats, Panthers, Chargers, Rams, Giants, Wash. 22-55 record among those teams. The Bills are a .500 team and Seattle 6-5Eagles SOS is insane and all the high level teams are in a row for the most part.Care to elaborate? I know SF got a very short end of the stick facing rested opponents this year (although it's overblown).All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
Miami
Washington
Cowboys
Chiefs
Bills
Niners
Cowboys
Seattle
With exception to Washington (which, lets face it ALWAYS plays the Eagles tough) the rest of that stretch is ridiculous. On top of that, we just played the Bills on short rest, this week we are playing against SF who is coming off of 10 days rest, next week we're playing Dallas who will be coming off 10 days rest. It is what it is and they are handling their business. Its just crazy that the two biggest games of the year w/r/t NFC seeding and NFCE implications we are playing both rival teams that are coming off mini byes.
renesauz
IBL Representative
Only thing I can add is that knocking PUrdy around isn't enough. Much like Hurts, he's pretty cool under pressure. You need to actually sack him, generate a fumble or one of those catch his arm while throwing and cause a wild pass to get picked. He isn't easy to rattle.
Wingnut
Footballguy
The 49ers got it even worse when it comes to rest disadvantage than the Eagles did this season. And it hurt us during out 3 game skid (CLE and CIN both had rest advantages, and we didn't have Williams and Deebo. It was too much to overcome I guess). Anyway, it's a valid argument and it does effect teams.Got KC off their bye (no advantage/disadvantage when most get at least one in season game with significantly more rest) on a Monday, so next opponent (Buffalo) gets extra prep time. Get SF next, when SF played on a Thursday, so SF gets extra time. Then Dallas has a Thursday game...guess who their next opponent is? IN all it's not just 6 straight games against playoff teams, but four of those teams come into the game with extra rest. It's a bit over the top.Care to elaborate? I know SF got a very short end of the stick facing rested opponents this year (although it's overblown).All about timing/schedule. The Eagles schedule is......I hesitate to use the word unfair in another teams thread, but I've never seen one like it. And I don't mean the quality of opponentsThis is insane. SF is definitely capable of winning but the Eagles are the best team in football. And the possibility of rain plays into their favor as well.Oh, and opening as favorites against them in their house has to ruffle their feathers a bit
These things generally balance out for teams. Play a couple games where the opponent gets extra, play a game or three where you get extra. It was far from balanced for the Eagles this year
Teams Helped & Hurt By NFL Schedule: Chiefs, 49ers, Eagles
NFL rest edge, which teams are helped & hurt the most by 2023 NFL schedule, betting importance of rest edges, Colts, Commanders, Browns, 49ers, Chiefs, Eagles
www.sharpfootballanalysis.com
Why Does Rest Disparity Matter?
Net rest is the extra number of rest days a team has over their opponent per game, summed over the course of the season.Last year, three teams had net rest edges of negative-10 days or worse: Packers (-12), Patriots (-10), and Texans (-10). All three fell below their expected win total.
The two teams with the best net rest edges last year, the Bills (+12) and Lions (+11), went over their win totals.
It is even more valuable later in the season.
Since 2015, teams with a three or more day rest advantage from Week 13 onward have won 55.2% of their games and have covered the spread in 55.7% of games over a 106-game sample.
Which NFL team has the worst rest edge in 2023?
The San Francisco 49ers have the worst rest edge for the 2023 NFL season.The 49ers have 20 fewer days of rest than their opponents.
Which NFL team was hurt the most by the 2023 schedule?
The Chiefs were hurt the most by the 2023 NFL schedule when considering every rest and prep variable.The 49ers, Eagles, Vikings, and Giants round out the top five teams hurt the most by the 2023 NFL schedule.
In total, the 49ers play five games with a rest disadvantage, and the total days of rest disadvantage they have in those games is 26 days.
They get two games with rest advantage: Week 4 vs the Cardinals, and Week 13 @ the Eagles features an extra three days of rest and prep as the 49ers play Thanksgiving night in Week 12.
The Eagles have a negative-six-day net rest edge, tied for sixth-worst in the NFL. They have only one game that features more rest than their opponent, and it is extremely early in the season.
Additionally, there is a three-week span, from Week 12 through Week 14, that the Eagles will play with a rest disadvantage. And all three games are against powerhouses.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Fresh Super Bowl Odds from Fox Sports:
2024 SUPER BOWL ODDS: 49ERS NEW FAVORITE; CHIEFS, EAGLES CLOSE BEHIND
SUPER BOWL XLVIII ODDS
At Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Feb. 11
San Francisco 49ers: +400
Kansas City Chiefs: +425
Philadelphia Eagles: +450
Miami Dolphins: +800
Baltimore Ravens: +800
Dallas Cowboys: +900
Detroit Lions: +1200
Jacksonville Jaguars +1500
2024 SUPER BOWL ODDS: 49ERS NEW FAVORITE; CHIEFS, EAGLES CLOSE BEHIND
SUPER BOWL XLVIII ODDS
At Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Feb. 11
San Francisco 49ers: +400
Kansas City Chiefs: +425
Philadelphia Eagles: +450
Miami Dolphins: +800
Baltimore Ravens: +800
Dallas Cowboys: +900
Detroit Lions: +1200
Jacksonville Jaguars +1500
Tanner9919
Footballguy
not so fast my friend.
Niners spits home,away.
San Francisco 49ers 2023 Offensive Splits | Pro-Football-Reference.com
Checkout the San Francisco 49ers 2023 Offensive Splits Stats including Splits by Quarter, Game Location, Down, Yards to Go Field Position, Score Differential, Game Situation, Snap Type & Huddle, Pass Rush Type and more on Pro-Football-Reference.com
www.pro-football-reference.com
Splits by Game Location
| Game Location | #Pl | ToGo | Yds | Att | Yds | Y/A | TD | 1D | Cmp | Att | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | Int | Sk | 1D | Rate | ANY/A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Passing | |||||||||||||||||||
| Home | 313 | 8.15 | 6.83 | 164 | 663 | 4.0 | 8 | 44 | 106 | 139 | 76.3 | 1544 | 11.1 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 71 | 132.3 | 11.2 | All Home 49ers plays |
| Away | 353 | 8.93 | 5.98 | 172 | 833 | 4.8 | 10 | 49 | 110 | 170 | 64.7 | 1334 | 7.8 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 62 | 94.6 | 7.3 | All Away 49ers plays |
A california team traveling east to play in eastern time zone has won how many games in NFL history? they probably lose twice as many in east than any other time zone.
Philly is going to be rocking at 4p sunday.I hope the niners can hang on! they have a HC who can't win a big game, and this is one of the biggest for him this season.