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  1. TheWinz

    Who are your top 5 rookie busts for 2024?

    I know the class of RB's is lacking this year, but at least 1 rookie always breaks out... ALWAYS. I went back to 2000, and every season has at least 1 rookie finish RB2 or better. In the 24 years, we have had 28 RB1's and 29 RB2's, with 16 of those years garnering at least one RB1.
  2. TheWinz

    RB Derrick Henry, BAL

    Exactly my point. Everyone on the D knew it was the Derrick Henry show, and they still couldn't stop him. Double digit rushing TD's for 6 straight years. You know who else has done that? Only LT and ADP. And funny enough, both hit double digits at the age of 30.
  3. TheWinz

    RB Derrick Henry, BAL

    Top 5? Are you insane? Top 6 I can see though.
  4. TheWinz

    RB Derrick Henry, BAL

    13 TD's is his ceiling? That's his average over the past 6 seasons. I'd say his ceiling is closer to 20. :wink:
  5. TheWinz

    RB Derrick Henry, BAL

    Our rushing numbers are pretty close. Our biggest difference I see isn't YPC, it's TD's. You have Henry getting 73% of the team RB carries, but only 9 TD's?
  6. TheWinz

    RB Derrick Henry, BAL

    Baltimore had a very "Lamaresque" 2023 season, and he had 148 carries while Gus Edwards managed to carry 198 times. Other scrub RB's also carried a total of 166 times. Even if Lamar once again has 148 carries, I seriously doubt Henry is going to cede 46% of the RB carries to others. Last...
  7. TheWinz

    WR D.J. Chark, LAC

    Harbaugh was the Niners HC from 2011 thru 2014 2011 - Alex Smith started every game and finished QB15 (QB22 in PPG). The Niners were 3rd in rushing attempts and 31st in passing attempts. Not a recipe for QB fantasy success. 2012 - Alex Smith starts the first 9 games and gets a concussion...
  8. TheWinz

    WR D.J. Chark, LAC

    I'm sorry, but Herbert's rushing stats may not be enough to keep him in the fantasy QB1 mix. He's only finished once inside the QB top 10 (overall or PPG), and that was when he threw over 5K with 38 TD's. Under Harbaugh, Herbert is going to be a fine game manager, but a lousy fantasy QB. The...
  9. TheWinz

    WR Kadarius Toney, KC

    105 WR's last year had over 20 receptions. Kadarius (27 for 169 = 6.3) managed to be nearly 2 full yards lower per catch than the next worst WR (Allen Robinson 34 for 280 = 8.2). I was about to post the horrendous stat above when I decided to go back a litter further. After nearly an hour, I...
  10. TheWinz

    RB Derrick Henry, BAL

    I had low expectations for Henry this year... then I decided to take another look. The Ravens aren't the RBBC team they seem. They have been forced into it since Dobbins showed up in 2020. If Henry stays healthy, he will finish as a RB1, no question about it.
  11. TheWinz

    Borrowing From Your Future Self - a vicious dynasty cycle

    Who needs rookie picks when you win every year?
  12. TheWinz

    **** Chargers 2024 Thread - Because No One Demanded It ****

    The Chargers D gets no love in this article... https://sportsnaut.com/nfl-defense-rankings/
  13. TheWinz

    Is the 2024 RB Class really that bad?

    Points per reception
  14. TheWinz

    Is the 2024 RB Class really that bad?

    # of rookies in top 24 PPR (total points, not PPG) 2023 - 2 2022 - 1 2021 - 2 2020 - 5 2019 - 3 2018 - 3 2017 - 4 2016 - 2 2015 - 3 2014 - 1
  15. TheWinz

    Catch percentage + yards per catch = A stat I decided to research

    After Rachaad White's RB4 finish in PPR, I came across an interesting stat - if you add his catch percentage (91.4) to his yards per catch (8.6), you come up with 100 on the nose. This seemed very high, so I decided to see how other RB's compare. Obviously, I need to set a minimum number of...
  16. TheWinz

    **** Chargers 2024 Thread - Because No One Demanded It ****

    Jackson Powers-Johnson to be had at 2.37. He and Alt as the Bolts first picks to start Harbaugh's regime is exactly what he wants.
  17. TheWinz

    🏈🏈🏈 OFFICIAL 2024 NFL DRAFT THREAD - LIVE FROM MOTOWN 🏈🏈🏈

    Guys we mocked in Round 1 who weren't selected: 8) Atlanta Falcons - Cooper DeJean, CB Iowa 18) Cincinnati Bengals - Jer'Zhan Newton - DT - ILLINOIS 24) Dallas Cowboys - Jackson Powers Johnson, C, Oregon 28) Buffalo Bills - Adonai Mitchell, WR Texas 29) Detroit Lions - Kool Aid Mckinstry CB...
  18. TheWinz

    🏈🏈🏈 OFFICIAL 2024 NFL DRAFT THREAD - LIVE FROM MOTOWN 🏈🏈🏈

    Not a Cowboys lover, but I do like the pick
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