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Tyrone Tracy & Kimani Vidal
Showed some athleticism, elusiveness, and receiving ability, and have great opportunities with depth charts led by Devin Singletary & Gus Edwards.
You can add Jaylen Wright & Isaac Guerendo, if they're going late enough and you don't care as much about a rookie year...
I put together a spreadsheet calculation to be more systematic about how I'm thinking about this WR class. It mostly matches my rankings from a couple posts up, but not entirely.
"Pick Value" & "Reach/Steal" come directly from my generic rookie rankings. The Reach/Steal adjustment makes it so...
Here are my first-pass rookie rankings, linked earlier. For comparison, I've put the generic rookie rankings from a couple posts up (based only on NFL draft slot and pre-draft expected draft pick) and the Fantasy Pros consensus dynasty rookie rankings (which are similar to other rookie rankings...
Very good first 3 rounds, did not like what the Bears did on day 3.
Specifically I did not like:
* drafting a punter at 122
* not trading down from 122, especially when Houston gave 127 + a 2025 5th for 123 (so they probably could've gotten a free 2025 5th, and taken the same player at 127 as...
First pass at rookie rankings here. One set of rankings for regular PPR leagues, one set for superflex TE premium leagues.
I will probably tinker some more with these over the next couple days.
Generic PPR rookie rankings, based on position and draft pick.
The number in parentheses (e.g. 149 for Xavier Legette) is the player's estimated career fantasy points over replacement, given the position he plays & the pick he was taken with, based on historical data.
The first number (e.g...
Day 2 RBs
46 Jonathon Brooks CAR
66 Trey Benson ARI
83 Blake Corum LAR
88 MarShawn Lloyd GB
My dynasty ranking is currently the same as their draft order.
These picks are pretty close to their consensus board ranks (56, 58, 77, 94), though with more of a gap between Brooks & Benson. Initial...
Kiran Amegadjie a solid pick at 75. Developmental OL, coming back from an injury and making a huge jump in competition. Was ranked right around here on the consensus board.
I would've loved Cooper Beebe, who was drafted at 73.
Good point. So a trade will only happen if Cousins agrees to it. And Atlanta probably won't get all that much back if they do trade him, since teams will be competing with each other to get Cousins to choose them instead of trying to make the offer that the Falcons like most. It does still seem...
Pick 32 gets $2.3M more than pick 33 over the first 4 years.
The 5th year option doesn't get used that often on late 1st rounders, now that it's fully guaranteed and scales with playing time & Pro Bowls. Only 1 of the last 10 first round picks from the 2020 draft had their 5th year option...
Ricky Pearsall didn't do much after the catch in college, with 11th percentile YAC and 6th percentile MT rate (adjusted for target location & TDs) relative to recent rd1-3 WRs. Not what SF usually goes for in their WRs.
Although he did have 21/253/5 rushing, with 6 missed tackles forced on...
1. MIN trades up with NYJ for QB JJ McCarthy at 10
MIN get: 10 (McCarthy), 203
NYJ gets: 11 (OT Olu Fashanu), 129, and 157
The Vikings get their QB, preventing other teams from leapfrogging them. The Jets get a couple extra picks for free.
2. MIN trades up with JAC for EDGE Dallas Turner at...
Great first round for dynasty leagues, although in some cases not so good for a player's first season or two. 6 QBs, 7 WRs, and 1 TE drafted, many early and/or earlier than expected, some to good or great landing spots, and none with a major overall downgrade based on the combo of draft capital...
I thought our draft was QB-crazy, with 6 in the top 13, but the NFL got its 5th & 6th QBs in slightly sooner.
13 of our first 14 picks were drafted in the top 14. The one mismatch is that we had Cooper DeJean, the NFL had JC Latham.
Exact matches:
1 CHI Caleb Williams
4 ARI Marvin Harrison
6...
Malachi Corley: Great with the ball in his hands. Not near the level of Deebo Samuel (who had 7 rushing TDs & 4 kick return TDs in college, and better MT & YAC numbers, and did it in the SEC rather than Conference USA, and is now the best after-the-catch receiver in the NFL). Overall production...
I have edited my post with open ratings as Matt Harmon has released more Reception Perception data. Some later picks who have pretty good numbers: Malik Washington, Johnny Wilson, Ainias Smith. On the other end of the spectrum, Devontez Walker has awful numbers.
Also, here's an update to last...
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